Jupiler Pro League · Mar 14, 2026 17:15
Union Saint-Gilloise
PWR 35
Dender
PWR 35
Union Saint-Gilloise
PWR 35
4-1
predicted
Dender
PWR 35
63%
21%
16%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Union Saint-Gilloise Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
86%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (24%)2-0 (20%)0-0 (15%)3-0 (11%)1-1 (7%)2-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
29%
Under 2.5
71%
71%
BTTS
No
No 19%
Over 3.5
17%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Union Saint-Gi…
WDWDW
STABLE
Dender
DDLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy88%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANTHOME_STREAKPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Union Saint-Gi…vs
0.27
DenderGoal Probability
Union Saint…
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Dender
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (21%)2-0 (19%)0-0 (12%)3-0 (11%)1-1 (7%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 2.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 3.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Union Saint…+15
Gap#16
Dender
WR 93% 60 pts
WR 14% 19 pts
Union Saint-Gi…
16.0%
| Mar 07 | Union S… v Genk | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Union S… v Westerlo | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Union S… v Antwerp | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Union S… v Standar… | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | Union S… v Charler… | 4-1 |
| Feb 08 | Union S… v RAAL La… | 2-1 |
| Feb 04 | Union S… v Charler… | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Union S… v Club Br… | 1-0 |
| Jan 28 | Union S… v Atalanta | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Union S… v OH Leuv… | 0-0 |
Dender
4.0%
| Mar 07 | Dender v Charler… | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | Dender v Cercle … | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Dender v St. Tru… | 1-4 |
| Feb 14 | Dender v OH Leuv… | 3-2 |
| Feb 07 | Dender v Zulte W… | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Dender v Genk | 1-2 |
| Jan 25 | Dender v Anderle… | 0-0 |
| Jan 18 | Dender v Antwerp | 1-0 |
| Jan 14 | Dender v Union S… | 0-2 |
| Dec 27 | Dender v KV Mech… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Jan 14, 2026 | Dender | 0-2 | Union Saint-G… |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Dender | 0-1 | Union Saint-G… |
| Mar 01, 2025 | Union Saint-G… | 4-1 | Dender |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Dender | 0-0 | Union Saint-G… |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
85%
Standings
93%
Market
50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Union Saint-Gilloise in strong form (3W in last 5)
Dender struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.