Ligue 1 · Mar 14, 2026 16:00
Lorient
PWR 33
Lens
PWR 44
Lorient
PWR 33
1-1
predicted
Lens
PWR 44
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (12%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (9%)3-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
BTTS
No 48%
Over 3.5
44%
Team Comparison
41Attack51
54Defense76
Goals/G
1.41.7
Conc/G
1.60.8
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Lorient
DDDDW
STABLE
Lens
WWDDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team draws 42% at home = very high riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.3
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
Lorientvs
0.78
LensGoal Probability
Lorient
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
11%
Lens
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-2 (7%)2-2 (7%)1-0 (6%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
| 4.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Lorient-8
Gap#2
Lens
WR 50% 34 pts
WR 58% 56 pts
Lorient
12.0%
| Mar 08 | Lorient v Lille | 1-1 |
| Mar 04 | Lorient v Nice | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Lorient v Auxerre | 2-2 |
| Feb 22 | Lorient v Nice | 3-3 |
| Feb 15 | Lorient v Angers | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | Lorient v Stade B… | 2-0 |
| Feb 04 | Lorient v Paris FC | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Lorient v Nantes | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Lorient v Rennes … | 0-2 |
| Jan 16 | Lorient v AS Mona… | 1-3 |
Lens
14.0%
| Mar 08 | Lens v Metz | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | Lens v Annecy | 3-0 |
| Mar 05 | Lens v Lyon | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | Lens v Red Star | 0-0 |
| Feb 27 | Lens v Strasbo… | 1-1 |
| Feb 23 | Lens v Guingamp | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Lens v AS Mona… | 2-3 |
| Feb 14 | Lens v Paris FC | 0-5 |
| Feb 14 | Lens v Montpel… | 4-2 |
| Feb 07 | Lens v Rennes … | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Nov 02, 2025 | Lens | 3-0 | Lorient |
| May 03, 2024 | Lens | 2-0 | Lorient |
| May 03, 2024 | Lens | 2-0 | Lorient |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
85%
Standings
34%
Market
50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.