Ligue 1 · Mar 15, 2026 19:45
Rennes FC
PWR 34
Lille
PWR 37
Rennes FC
PWR 34
2-1
predicted
Lille
PWR 37
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Rennes FC to win (61% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
61%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (53%)0-1 (18%)1-0 (16%)1-1 (5%)0-2 (3%)2-0 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
3%
Under 2.5
97%
97%
BTTS
No
No 7%
Over 3.5
11%
Team Comparison
45Attack51
54Defense55
Goals/G
1.51.7
Conc/G
1.61.5
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Rennes FC
WWWWL
UP
Lille
DWWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 5/10 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Rennes FCvs
0.33
LilleGoal Probability
Rennes FC
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Lille
0
72%
1
24%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (19%)0-0 (17%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 2.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Rennes FC+1
Gap#6
Lille
WR 58% 43 pts
WR 42% 41 pts
Rennes FC
16.0%
| Mar 08 | Rennes … v Nice | 0-4 |
| Feb 28 | Rennes … v Toulouse | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Rennes … v Auxerre | 0-3 |
| Feb 13 | Rennes … v Paris S… | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Rennes … v Lens | 3-1 |
| Feb 03 | Rennes … v Olympiq… | 3-0 |
| Jan 31 | Rennes … v AS Mona… | 4-0 |
| Jan 24 | Rennes … v Lorient | 0-2 |
| Jan 18 | Rennes … v LE Havr… | 1-1 |
| Jan 03 | Rennes … v Lille | 0-2 |
Lille
14.0%
| Mar 08 | Lille v Lorient | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Lille v Nantes | 1-0 |
| Feb 26 | Lille v FK Crve… | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Lille v Angers | 0-1 |
| Feb 19 | Lille v FK Crve… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Lille v Stade B… | 1-1 |
| Feb 06 | Lille v Metz | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Lille v Lyon | 1-0 |
| Jan 29 | Lille v SC Frei… | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Lille v Strasbo… | 1-4 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 03, 2026 | Lille | 0-2 | Rennes FC |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Rennes FC | 0-2 | Lille |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Lille | 1-0 | Rennes FC |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Lille | 1-0 | Rennes FC |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Lille | 2-2 | Rennes FC |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Lille | 2-2 | Rennes FC |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Rennes FC | 2-2 | Lille |
| Feb 04, 2023 | Rennes FC | 1-3 | Lille |
| Nov 06, 2022 | Lille | 1-1 | Rennes FC |
| May 21, 2022 | Lille | 2-2 | Rennes FC |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
56%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Rennes FC in strong form (4W in last 5)
Lille in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.