Ligue 1 · Mar 15, 2026 16:15
Metz
PWR 22
Toulouse
PWR 39
Metz
PWR 22
1-2
predicted
Toulouse
PWR 39
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Toulouse Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (15%)0-2 (13%)1-1 (11%)0-0 (9%)1-2 (9%)0-3 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS
No 41%
Over 3.5
23%
Team Comparison
32Attack47
31Defense66
Goals/G
1.11.6
Conc/G
2.31.2
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Metz
LLLLD
DOWN
Toulouse
LDLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
HOME_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (24.0%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Metzvs
1.69
ToulouseGoal Probability
Metz
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Toulouse
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (17%)0-2 (16%)0-3 (10%)0-0 (9%)1-1 (9%)1-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
| 3.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#18
Metz-6
Gap#12
Toulouse
WR 17% 13 pts
WR 33% 31 pts
Metz
2.0%
| Mar 08 | Metz v Lens | 3-0 |
| Mar 01 | Metz v Stade B… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Metz v Paris S… | 3-0 |
| Feb 15 | Metz v Auxerre | 1-3 |
| Feb 06 | Metz v Lille | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Metz v Angers | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Metz v Lyon | 2-5 |
| Jan 18 | Metz v Strasbo… | 2-1 |
| Jan 11 | Metz v Montpel… | 0-4 |
| Jan 04 | Metz v Lorient | 1-1 |
Toulouse
4.0%
| Mar 07 | Toulouse v Olympiq… | 0-1 |
| Mar 04 | Toulouse v Olympiq… | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | Toulouse v Rennes … | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Toulouse v Paris FC | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Toulouse v LE Havr… | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Toulouse v Angers | 1-0 |
| Feb 04 | Toulouse v Amiens | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Toulouse v Auxerre | 0-0 |
| Jan 25 | Toulouse v Stade B… | 0-2 |
| Jan 17 | Toulouse v Nice | 5-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Oct 19, 2025 | Toulouse | 4-0 | Metz |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Metz | 0-1 | Toulouse |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
38%
Market
50%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Metz struggling (4L in last 5)
Toulouse struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.