Serie B · Mar 18, 2026 19:00
Carrarese
PWR 35
Sampdoria
PWR 32
Carrarese
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Sampdoria
PWR 32
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Carrarese Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (19%)2-0 (15%)0-0 (12%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
35%
Under 2.5
65%
65%
BTTS
No
No 32%
Over 3.5
15%
Team Comparison
42Attack29
56Defense62
Goals/G
1.41.0
Conc/G
1.51.3
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Carrarese
LDDLL
STABLE
Sampdoria
LDLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk36%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 40% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 2/4 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 73% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (35.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Carraresevs
0.52
SampdoriaGoal Probability
Carrarese
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Sampdoria
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (16%)0-0 (13%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 2.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#12
Carrarese+4
Gap#16
Sampdoria
WR 33% 32 pts
WR 7% 30 pts
Carrarese
4.0%
| Mar 08 | Carrare… v Palermo | 0-1 |
| Mar 04 | Carrare… v Catanza… | 3-3 |
| Mar 01 | Carrare… v Mantova | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Carrare… v Monza | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Carrare… v Monza | 2-0 |
| Feb 10 | Carrare… v Padova | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Carrare… v Sudtirol | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Carrare… v Venezia | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Carrare… v Empoli | 3-0 |
| Jan 17 | Carrare… v Avellino | 1-2 |
Sampdoria
6.0%
| Mar 08 | Sampdor… v Frosino… | 3-0 |
| Mar 04 | Sampdor… v Juve St… | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | Sampdor… v Bari | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | Sampdor… v Mantova | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Sampdor… v Padova | 1-0 |
| Feb 10 | Sampdor… v Palermo | 3-3 |
| Feb 07 | Sampdor… v Monza | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | Sampdor… v Spezia | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Sampdor… v Catanza… | 0-0 |
| Jan 16 | Sampdor… v Virtus … | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Dec 07, 2025 | Sampdoria | 3-2 | Carrarese |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Carrarese | 1-0 | Sampdoria |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Sampdoria | 1-1 | Carrarese |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Sampdoria | 1-1 | Carrarese |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
81%
Standings
64%
Market
50%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Carrarese struggling (3L in last 5)
Sampdoria struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.