Serie B · Mar 17, 2026 19:00
Catanzaro
PWR 36
Monza
PWR 43
Catanzaro
PWR 36
1-1
predicted
Monza
PWR 43
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (9%)3-1 (8%)1-0 (7%)1-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
65%
65%
Under 2.5
35%
BTTS
Yes 57%
Over 3.5
44%
Team Comparison
38Attack46
65Defense75
Goals/G
1.31.5
Conc/G
1.20.8
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Catanzaro
WDDWW
STABLE
Monza
DLLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 40% at home = very high riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 67% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.76
Catanzarovs
0.94
MonzaGoal Probability
Catanzaro
0
6%
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
Monza
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-2 (7%)2-2 (7%)1-0 (7%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 65% | 35% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 44% | 57% | - |
| 4.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Catanzaro-3
Gap#2
Monza
WR 53% 49 pts
WR 47% 60 pts
Catanzaro
16.0%
| Mar 08 | Catanza… v Empoli | 3-2 |
| Mar 04 | Catanza… v Carrare… | 3-3 |
| Mar 01 | Catanza… v Frosino… | 2-2 |
| Feb 21 | Catanza… v Virtus … | 1-3 |
| Feb 14 | Catanza… v Mantova | 2-0 |
| Feb 10 | Catanza… v Pescara | 0-2 |
| Feb 07 | Catanza… v Reggian… | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Catanza… v Sudtirol | 2-1 |
| Jan 25 | Catanza… v Sampdor… | 0-0 |
| Jan 17 | Catanza… v Venezia | 3-1 |
Monza
6.0%
| Mar 07 | Monza v Cosenza | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Monza v Spezia | 4-2 |
| Mar 03 | Monza v Virtus … | 2-1 |
| Mar 03 | Monza v Cosenza | 1-3 |
| Feb 28 | Monza v Padova | 1-2 |
| Feb 27 | Monza v Virtus … | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Monza v Juve St… | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Monza v Carrare… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Monza v Juve St… | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Monza v Carrare… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Dec 08, 2025 | Monza | 1-2 | Catanzaro |
| Oct 04, 2025 | Monza | 2-1 | Catanzaro |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Monza | 2-1 | Catanzaro |
| Oct 06, 2024 | Catanzaro | 2-2 | Monza |
| Oct 06, 2024 | Catanzaro | 2-2 | Monza |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Monza | 1-3 | Catanzaro |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Monza | 1-3 | Catanzaro |
| Nov 04, 2023 | Catanzaro | 1-2 | Monza |
| Jul 31, 2022 | Monza | 3-1 | Catanzaro |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
91%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Catanzaro in strong form (3W in last 5)
Monza struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.