Serie B · Mar 17, 2026 19:00
Spezia
PWR 30
Empoli
PWR 34
Spezia
PWR 30
1-2
predicted
Empoli
PWR 34
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Spezia Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (7%)3-0 (7%)1-1 (6%)1-0 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
69%
69%
Under 2.5
31%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 63%
Over 3.5
28%
Team Comparison
26Attack35
60Defense62
Goals/G
0.91.2
Conc/G
1.31.3
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Spezia
WDLWL
STABLE
Empoli
LLDDD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)WR diff only 2% = 35.1% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.99
Speziavs
1.10
EmpoliGoal Probability
Spezia
0
5%
1
15%
2
23%
3
22%
4
17%
Empoli
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (13%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (10%)0-0 (7%)3-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 3.5 | 28% | 73% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#18
Spezia-5
Gap#13
Empoli
WR 27% 29 pts
WR 29% 31 pts
Spezia
10.0%
| Mar 07 | Spezia v Monza | 4-2 |
| Mar 03 | Spezia v Padova | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | Spezia v Reggian… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Spezia v Cosenza | 2-3 |
| Feb 15 | Spezia v Frosino… | 0-2 |
| Feb 11 | Spezia v Bari | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Spezia v Virtus … | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Spezia v Sampdor… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Spezia v Avellino | 1-0 |
| Jan 18 | Spezia v Palermo | 1-0 |
Empoli
6.0%
| Mar 08 | Empoli v Catanza… | 3-2 |
| Mar 04 | Empoli v Bari | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Empoli v Cosenza | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | Empoli v Frosino… | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | Empoli v Reggian… | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | Empoli v Juve St… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Empoli v Palermo | 3-2 |
| Jan 31 | Empoli v Monza | 0-0 |
| Jan 23 | Empoli v Carrare… | 3-0 |
| Jan 17 | Empoli v Sudtirol | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Sep 14, 2025 | Empoli | 1-1 | Spezia |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
92%
Standings
40%
Market
50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.