Serie B · Mar 14, 2026 14:00

Empoli
PWR 34

Mantova
PWR 28

Empoli
PWR 34
2-1
predicted

Mantova
PWR 28
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Empoli Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (21%)1-0 (19%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
21%
Under 2.5
79%
79%
BTTS
No
No 29%
Over 3.5
40%
Team Comparison
35Attack30
62Defense51
Goals/G
1.21.0
Conc/G
1.31.6
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Empoli
LLDDD
DOWN
Mantova
WLDWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 60% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 81% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (31.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Empolivs
0.66
MantovaGoal Probability
Empoli
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Mantova
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
3%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)1-2 (9%)2-1 (8%)0-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)0-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 3.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 4.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#13
Empoli+2
Gap#15
Mantova
WR 20% 31 pts
WR 14% 30 pts
Empoli
6.0%
| Mar 08 | Empoli v Catanza… | 3-2 |
| Mar 04 | Empoli v Bari | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Empoli v Cosenza | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | Empoli v Frosino… | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | Empoli v Reggian… | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | Empoli v Juve St… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Empoli v Palermo | 3-2 |
| Jan 31 | Empoli v Monza | 0-0 |
| Jan 23 | Empoli v Carrare… | 3-0 |
| Jan 17 | Empoli v Sudtirol | 0-1 |
Mantova
10.0%
| Mar 08 | Mantova v Juve St… | 2-0 |
| Mar 04 | Mantova v Palermo | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Mantova v Carrare… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Mantova v Sampdor… | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Mantova v Catanza… | 2-0 |
| Feb 10 | Mantova v Reggian… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Mantova v Bari | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | Mantova v Pescara | 2-2 |
| Jan 24 | Mantova v Venezia | 2-5 |
| Jan 17 | Mantova v Padova | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Dec 21, 2025 | Mantova | 0-1 | Empoli |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
55%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.