Serie B · Mar 14, 2026 14:00
Bari
PWR 27
Reggiana 1919
PWR 32
Bari
PWR 27
2-1
predicted
Reggiana 1919
PWR 32
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Bari to win (75% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
75%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (35%)1-0 (24%)0-1 (13%)1-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
9%
Under 2.5
91%
91%
BTTS
No
No 15%
Over 3.5
11%
Team Comparison
25Attack34
54Defense56
Goals/G
0.81.1
Conc/G
1.51.5
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Bari
LWWDL
STABLE
Reggiana 1919
LLWDD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 36% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 2/4 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
Barivs
0.37
Reggiana 1919Goal Probability
Bari
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Reggiana 19…
0
69%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (19%)0-0 (16%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (11%)0-1 (11%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 2.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#19
Bari-2
Gap#17
Reggiana 19…
WR 29% 28 pts
WR 20% 29 pts
Bari
10.0%
| Mar 08 | Bari v Pescara | 4-0 |
| Mar 04 | Bari v Empoli | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | Bari v Sampdor… | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | Bari v Padova | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Bari v Sudtirol | 1-2 |
| Feb 11 | Bari v Spezia | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Bari v Mantova | 2-1 |
| Jan 30 | Bari v Palermo | 0-3 |
| Jan 24 | Bari v Cosenza | 1-2 |
| Jan 17 | Bari v Juve St… | 0-1 |
Reggiana 1919
8.0%
| Mar 07 | Reggian… v Venezia | 2-0 |
| Mar 03 | Reggian… v Sudtirol | 0-4 |
| Feb 28 | Reggian… v Spezia | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Reggian… v Avellino | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Reggian… v Empoli | 1-1 |
| Feb 10 | Reggian… v Mantova | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Reggian… v Catanza… | 2-0 |
| Feb 01 | Reggian… v Juve St… | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Reggian… v Frosino… | 1-0 |
| Jan 17 | Reggian… v Cosenza | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Oct 18, 2025 | Reggiana 1919 | 3-1 | Bari |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Reggiana 1919 | 0-0 | Bari |
| Nov 02, 2024 | Bari | 2-2 | Reggiana 1919 |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Bari | 0-2 | Reggiana 1919 |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
63%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.