Serie B · Mar 14, 2026 14:00
Padova
PWR 32
Catanzaro
PWR 36
Padova
PWR 32
1-2
predicted
Catanzaro
PWR 36
33%
27%
40%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Padova Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (8%)1-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)1-2 (7%)3-1 (5%)3-2 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
72%
72%
Under 2.5
28%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 74%
Over 3.5
45%
Team Comparison
29Attack38
63Defense65
Goals/G
1.01.3
Conc/G
1.21.2
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Padova
LDWDL
STABLE
Catanzaro
WDDWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 50% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 79% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (31.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.07
Padovavs
1.84
CatanzaroGoal Probability
Padova
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Catanzaro
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (10%)1-1 (9%)0-2 (7%)0-1 (7%)1-3 (7%)2-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 4.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Padova-5
Gap#5
Catanzaro
WR 21% 34 pts
WR 36% 49 pts
Padova
8.0%
| Mar 07 | Padova v Avellino | 1-0 |
| Mar 03 | Padova v Spezia | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | Padova v Monza | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Padova v Bari | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Padova v Sampdor… | 1-0 |
| Feb 10 | Padova v Carrare… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Padova v Juve St… | 3-3 |
| Feb 01 | Padova v Monza | 1-2 |
| Jan 25 | Padova v Sudtirol | 3-0 |
| Jan 17 | Padova v Mantova | 1-2 |
Catanzaro
16.0%
| Mar 08 | Catanza… v Empoli | 3-2 |
| Mar 04 | Catanza… v Carrare… | 3-3 |
| Mar 01 | Catanza… v Frosino… | 2-2 |
| Feb 21 | Catanza… v Virtus … | 1-3 |
| Feb 14 | Catanza… v Mantova | 2-0 |
| Feb 10 | Catanza… v Pescara | 0-2 |
| Feb 07 | Catanza… v Reggian… | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Catanza… v Sudtirol | 2-1 |
| Jan 25 | Catanza… v Sampdor… | 0-0 |
| Jan 17 | Catanza… v Venezia | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 19, 2025 | Catanzaro | 0-1 | Padova |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
40%
Market
50%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Catanzaro in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.