Serie B · Mar 13, 2026 19:30
Monza
PWR 43
Spezia
PWR 30
Monza
PWR 43
3-1
predicted
Spezia
PWR 30
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Monza Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
77%
TierPREMIUM
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (22%)2-0 (18%)0-0 (14%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
81%
Home/Draw
1.29x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.34x
Over 2.5
32%
Under 2.5
68%
68%
BTTS
No
No 26%
Over 3.5
27%
Team Comparison
46Attack26
75Defense60
Goals/G
1.50.9
Conc/G
0.81.3
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Monza
DLLWL
STABLE
Spezia
WDLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy77%
FORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Full data available (Tier 1)H2H: 5/10 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (25.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Monzavs
0.39
SpeziaGoal Probability
Monza
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Spezia
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (13%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (10%)0-0 (7%)3-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 74% | 27% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 3.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Monza+16
Gap#18
Spezia
WR 79% 60 pts
WR 21% 29 pts
Monza
6.0%
| Mar 07 | Monza v Cosenza | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Monza v Spezia | 4-2 |
| Mar 03 | Monza v Virtus … | 2-1 |
| Mar 03 | Monza v Cosenza | 1-3 |
| Feb 28 | Monza v Padova | 1-2 |
| Feb 27 | Monza v Virtus … | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Monza v Juve St… | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Monza v Carrare… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Monza v Juve St… | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Monza v Carrare… | 2-0 |
Spezia
10.0%
| Mar 07 | Spezia v Monza | 4-2 |
| Mar 03 | Spezia v Padova | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | Spezia v Reggian… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Spezia v Cosenza | 2-3 |
| Feb 15 | Spezia v Frosino… | 0-2 |
| Feb 11 | Spezia v Bari | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Spezia v Virtus … | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Spezia v Sampdor… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Spezia v Avellino | 1-0 |
| Jan 18 | Spezia v Palermo | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 07, 2026 | Spezia | 4-2 | Monza |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Spezia | 0-2 | Monza |
| Nov 02, 2025 | Monza | 1-0 | Spezia |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Monza | 1-1 | Spezia |
| Nov 02, 2024 | Spezia | 1-0 | Monza |
| Nov 02, 2024 | Spezia | 1-0 | Monza |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Monza | 0-0 | Spezia |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Monza | 0-0 | Spezia |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Spezia | 1-1 | Monza |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Spezia | 1-1 | Monza |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
83%
Standings
94%
Market
59%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Monza struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.