Bundesliga · Mar 15, 2026 14:30
Werder Bremen
PWR 35
FSV Mainz 05
PWR 43
Werder Bremen
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
FSV Mainz 05
PWR 43
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Werder Bremen Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (6%)1-2 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
BTTS
Yes 59%
Over 3.5
44%
Team Comparison
0Attack45
100Defense78
Goals/G
0.01.5
Conc/G
0.00.8
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Werder Bremen
WWLLL
STABLE
FSV Mainz 05
DDDLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskCombined DR 67% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (33.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94
Werder Bremenvs
1.15
FSV Mainz 05Goal Probability
Werder Brem…
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
FSV Mainz 05
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)1-2 (9%)2-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)0-1 (6%)0-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
| 4.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
League Position
#13
Werder Brem…+2
Gap#15
FSV Mainz 05
WR 33% 25 pts
WR 17% 24 pts
Werder Bremen
8.0%
| Mar 08 | Werder … v Union B… | 1-4 |
| Feb 28 | Werder … v FC Heid… | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Werder … v FC St. … | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Werder … v FC Baye… | 0-3 |
| Feb 07 | Werder … v SC Frei… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Werder … v Borussi… | 1-1 |
| Jan 27 | Werder … v 1899 Ho… | 0-2 |
| Jan 24 | Werder … v Bayer 0… | 1-0 |
| Jan 16 | Werder … v Eintrac… | 3-3 |
| Jan 13 | Werder … v Borussi… | 3-0 |
FSV Mainz 05
10.0%
| Mar 07 | FSV Mai… v VfB Stu… | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | FSV Mai… v Bayer 0… | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | FSV Mai… v Hamburg… | 1-1 |
| Feb 13 | FSV Mai… v Borussi… | 4-0 |
| Feb 07 | FSV Mai… v FC Augs… | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | FSV Mai… v RasenBa… | 1-2 |
| Jan 24 | FSV Mai… v VfL Wol… | 3-1 |
| Jan 17 | FSV Mai… v FC Koln | 2-1 |
| Jan 13 | FSV Mai… v FC Heid… | 2-1 |
| Jan 10 | FSV Mai… v Union B… | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 01, 2025 | FSV Mainz 05 | 1-1 | Werder Bremen |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
72%
Standings
58%
Market
50%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Werder Bremen struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.