Bundesliga · Mar 14, 2026 14:30
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
PWR 42
FC Bayern München
PWR 70
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
PWR 42
3-5
predicted
FC Bayern München
PWR 70
29%
28%
43%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
FC Bayern München Win
Score
3-5
Confidence
37%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (15%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (9%)3-0 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS
No 41%
Over 3.5
35%
Team Comparison
60Attack100
59Defense100
Goals/G
2.05.0
Conc/G
1.40.0
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Bayer 04 Lever…
DDWDD
STABLE
FC Bayern Münc…
WWWWW
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 2/7 draws (29%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesElevated draw risk (23.2%) - consider AHElite league - reduced threshold
Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Bayer 04 Lever…vs
0.68
FC Bayern Münc…Goal Probability
Bayer 04 Le…
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
FC Bayern M…
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)2-0 (8%)1-2 (7%)0-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 58% | 43% | - |
| 3.5 | 35% | 65% | - |
| 4.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Bayer 04 Le…-5
Gap#1
FC Bayern M…
WR 58% 44 pts
WR 83% 66 pts
Bayer 04 Lever…
12.0%
| Mar 11 | Bayer 0… v Arsenal | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Bayer 0… v SC Frei… | 3-3 |
| Mar 04 | Bayer 0… v Hamburg… | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Bayer 0… v FSV Mai… | 1-1 |
| Feb 24 | Bayer 0… v Olympia… | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Bayer 0… v Union B… | 1-0 |
| Feb 18 | Bayer 0… v Olympia… | 0-2 |
| Feb 14 | Bayer 0… v FC St. … | 4-0 |
| Feb 07 | Bayer 0… v Borussi… | 1-1 |
| Feb 03 | Bayer 0… v FC St. … | 3-0 |
FC Bayern Münc…
20.0%
| Mar 10 | FC Baye… v Atalanta | 1-6 |
| Mar 06 | FC Baye… v Borussi… | 4-1 |
| Feb 28 | FC Baye… v Borussi… | 2-3 |
| Feb 21 | FC Baye… v Eintrac… | 3-2 |
| Feb 14 | FC Baye… v Werder … | 0-3 |
| Feb 11 | FC Baye… v RasenBa… | 2-0 |
| Feb 08 | FC Baye… v 1899 Ho… | 5-1 |
| Jan 31 | FC Baye… v Hamburg… | 2-2 |
| Jan 28 | FC Baye… v PSV Ein… | 1-2 |
| Jan 24 | FC Baye… v FC Augs… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Nov 01, 2025 | FC Bayern Mün… | 3-0 | Bayer 04 Leve… |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Bayer 04 Leve… | 0-2 | FC Bayern Mün… |
| Mar 05, 2025 | FC Bayern Mün… | 3-0 | Bayer 04 Leve… |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Bayer 04 Leve… | 0-0 | FC Bayern Mün… |
| Dec 03, 2024 | FC Bayern Mün… | 0-1 | Bayer 04 Leve… |
| Sep 28, 2024 | FC Bayern Mün… | 1-1 | Bayer 04 Leve… |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Bayer 04 Leve… | 3-0 | FC Bayern Mün… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
81%
Standings
40%
Market
50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
FC Bayern München in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.