Challenge League · Mar 13, 2026 19:15
FC Aarau
PWR 35
FC Vaduz
PWR 35
FC Aarau
PWR 35
2-2
predicted
FC Vaduz
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
FC Vaduz Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-2 (7%)1-2 (6%)2-3 (6%)2-1 (5%)1-3 (5%)3-2 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.73x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.62x
Over 2.5
78%
78%
Under 2.5
22%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 82%
Over 3.5
67%
67%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FC Aarau
WWDWL
STABLE
FC Vaduz
DWWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.6%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
2.18
FC Aarauvs
2.55
FC VaduzGoal Probability
FC Aarau
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
FC Vaduz
0
8%
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (7%)2-2 (7%)1-3 (6%)2-3 (6%)1-1 (5%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 5.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
FC Aarau-1
Gap#1
FC Vaduz
WR 75% 56 pts
WR 50% 59 pts
FC Aarau
14.0%
| Mar 06 | FC Aarau v Étoile … | 0-3 |
| Feb 27 | FC Aarau v Rappers… | 5-3 |
| Feb 20 | FC Aarau v Stade N… | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | FC Aarau v Luzern … | 2-3 |
| Feb 14 | FC Aarau v Servett… | 0-3 |
| Feb 13 | FC Aarau v Stade L… | 4-2 |
| Feb 07 | FC Aarau v FC WIL … | 2-2 |
| Feb 07 | FC Aarau v Young B… | 3-0 |
| Jan 30 | FC Aarau v Yverdon… | 1-2 |
| Jan 24 | FC Aarau v Bellinz… | 1-0 |
FC Vaduz
16.0%
| Mar 06 | FC Vaduz v Rappers… | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | FC Vaduz v Stade N… | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | FC Vaduz v Neuchât… | 1-0 |
| Feb 13 | FC Vaduz v Bellinz… | 0-2 |
| Feb 06 | FC Vaduz v Étoile … | 3-3 |
| Jan 30 | FC Vaduz v Stade L… | 5-2 |
| Jan 23 | FC Vaduz v FC WIL … | 3-1 |
| Dec 19 | FC Vaduz v FC Aarau | 3-2 |
| Dec 12 | FC Vaduz v Rappers… | 0-4 |
| Dec 05 | FC Vaduz v Neuchât… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 19, 2025 | FC Vaduz | 3-2 | FC Aarau |
| Sep 13, 2025 | FC Aarau | 1-0 | FC Vaduz |
| Apr 18, 2025 | FC Aarau | 2-2 | FC Vaduz |
| Feb 23, 2025 | FC Vaduz | 0-1 | FC Aarau |
| Oct 05, 2024 | FC Aarau | 0-0 | FC Vaduz |
| Sep 20, 2024 | FC Vaduz | 2-5 | FC Aarau |
| May 03, 2024 | FC Vaduz | 2-1 | FC Aarau |
| Jan 26, 2024 | FC Aarau | 1-0 | FC Vaduz |
| Oct 22, 2023 | FC Vaduz | 2-2 | FC Aarau |
| Sep 25, 2023 | FC Aarau | 3-2 | FC Vaduz |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
46%
Standings
48%
Market
40%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
FC Aarau in strong form (3W in last 5)
FC Vaduz in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.