Challenge League · Mar 13, 2026 18:30
Bellinzona
PWR 35
Étoile Carouge
PWR 35
Bellinzona
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Étoile Carouge
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Bellinzona Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (8%)1-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)1-2 (7%)3-1 (6%)3-2 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.72x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.62x
Over 2.5
72%
72%
Under 2.5
28%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 73%
Over 3.5
54%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Bellinzona
DLLLD
STABLE
Étoile Carouge
LWDLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 3/9 draws (33%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.13
Bellinzonavs
1.79
Étoile CarougeGoal Probability
Bellinzona
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Étoile Caro…
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (8%)1-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)1-2 (7%)3-1 (6%)3-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 4.5 | 35% | 65% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Bellinzona-1
Gap#9
Étoile Caro…
WR 25% 15 pts
WR 17% 22 pts
Bellinzona
4.0%
| Mar 07 | Bellinz… v FC WIL … | 3-3 |
| Feb 27 | Bellinz… v Yverdon… | 0-4 |
| Feb 20 | Bellinz… v Rappers… | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | Bellinz… v FC Vaduz | 0-2 |
| Feb 06 | Bellinz… v Stade N… | 1-1 |
| Jan 30 | Bellinz… v Neuchât… | 5-0 |
| Jan 24 | Bellinz… v FC Aarau | 1-0 |
| Dec 20 | Bellinz… v FC WIL … | 0-2 |
| Dec 14 | Bellinz… v Neuchât… | 1-0 |
| Dec 06 | Bellinz… v Stade N… | 2-0 |
Étoile Carouge
8.0%
| Mar 06 | Étoile … v FC Aarau | 0-3 |
| Feb 28 | Étoile … v Stade L… | 0-1 |
| Feb 20 | Étoile … v Yverdon… | 2-2 |
| Feb 13 | Étoile … v Neuchât… | 1-3 |
| Feb 06 | Étoile … v FC Vaduz | 3-3 |
| Jan 30 | Étoile … v Rappers… | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Étoile … v Stade N… | 2-2 |
| Jan 16 | Étoile … v Chênois | 3-1 |
| Dec 19 | Étoile … v Stade L… | 1-2 |
| Dec 12 | Étoile … v FC Aarau | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Oct 31, 2025 | Étoile Carouge | 2-0 | Bellinzona |
| Oct 04, 2025 | Bellinzona | 0-3 | Étoile Carouge |
| Apr 05, 2025 | Étoile Carouge | 7-0 | Bellinzona |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Bellinzona | 0-0 | Étoile Carouge |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Étoile Carouge | 2-2 | Bellinzona |
| Aug 03, 2024 | Bellinzona | 1-1 | Étoile Carouge |
| May 22, 2022 | Bellinzona | 3-2 | Étoile Carouge |
| Mar 06, 2022 | Bellinzona | 4-1 | Étoile Carouge |
| Sep 11, 2021 | Étoile Carouge | 1-3 | Bellinzona |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
64%
Standings
48%
Market
40%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Bellinzona struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.