First Division · Mar 14, 2026 16:00
Aris
PWR 35
Pafos FC
PWR 35
Aris
PWR 35
3-2
predicted
Pafos FC
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Aris Win
Score
3-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (9%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)1-0 (6%)1-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
67%
67%
Under 2.5
33%
BTTS
Yes 58%
Over 3.5
66%
66%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Aris
WWLWD
STABLE
Pafos FC
WDDWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.08
Arisvs
0.93
Pafos FCGoal Probability
Aris
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Pafos FC
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)3-1 (6%)3-2 (6%)1-1 (6%)1-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 83% | 18% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 5.5 | 30% | 71% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Aris-1
Gap#4
Pafos FC
WR 67% 43 pts
WR 50% 48 pts
Aris
14.0%
| Mar 08 | Aris v Enosis | 0-4 |
| Mar 07 | Aris v IFK Nor… | 5-1 |
| Mar 06 | Aris v AEK Lar… | 3-0 |
| Mar 02 | Aris v Sandvik… | 2-3 |
| Mar 01 | Aris v Pafos FC | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | Aris v Digenis… | 1-3 |
| Feb 23 | Aris v Landskr… | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | Aris v Olympia… | 1-3 |
| Feb 20 | Aris v Digenis… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Aris v Aris | 1-1 |
Pafos FC
12.0%
| Mar 07 | Pafos FC v Digenis… | 7-0 |
| Mar 01 | Pafos FC v Aris | 2-2 |
| Feb 21 | Pafos FC v Anortho… | 0-0 |
| Feb 15 | Pafos FC v AEL | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | Pafos FC v Omonia … | 2-4 |
| Feb 04 | Pafos FC v Apoel N… | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Pafos FC v Ethniko… | 2-1 |
| Jan 28 | Pafos FC v Slavia … | 4-1 |
| Jan 25 | Pafos FC v AEK Lar… | 1-2 |
| Jan 21 | Pafos FC v Chelsea | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 01, 2026 | Aris | 2-2 | Pafos FC |
| Jan 07, 2026 | Pafos FC | 2-1 | Aris |
| Dec 05, 2025 | Pafos FC | 4-0 | Aris |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Pafos FC | 2-1 | Aris |
| May 04, 2025 | Pafos FC | 4-0 | Aris |
| Apr 02, 2025 | Aris | 0-1 | Pafos FC |
| Jan 15, 2025 | Pafos FC | 1-1 | Aris |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Aris | 1-0 | Pafos FC |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Pafos FC | 1-1 | Aris |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Aris | 1-1 | Pafos FC |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Aris in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.