Premier League · Mar 15, 2026 13:00
Welayta Dicha SC
PWR 35
Mekelle Kenema
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Welayta Dicha SC
PWR 35
33%
27%
40%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (27%)1-0 (19%)0-1 (17%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (6%)0-2 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
14%
Under 2.5
86%
86%
BTTS
No
No 23%
Over 3.5
3%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Mekelle Kenema
LLDWL
DOWN
Welayta Dicha …
WDWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk36%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team draws 46% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskAway draws 45% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 91% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
Mekelle Kenemavs
0.62
Welayta Dicha …Goal Probability
Mekelle Ken…
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Welayta Dic…
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (32%)0-1 (18%)1-0 (18%)1-1 (10%)0-2 (5%)2-0 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#19
Mekelle Ken…-4
Gap#15
Welayta Dic…
WR 18% 22 pts
WR 9% 26 pts
Mekelle Kenema
6.0%
| Mar 10 | Mekelle… v Awassa … | 1-0 |
| Mar 05 | Mekelle… v Dire Da… | 1-2 |
| Feb 26 | Mekelle… v Mekelak… | 0-0 |
| Feb 23 | Mekelle… v Suhul S… | 1-0 |
| Feb 05 | Mekelle… v Negelle… | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Mekelle… v Ethiopi… | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Mekelle… v Dire Da… | 0-0 |
| Jan 20 | Mekelle… v Mebrat … | 2-1 |
| Jan 15 | Mekelle… v Bahardar | 0-0 |
| Jan 09 | Mekelle… v Sheger … | 0-0 |
Welayta Dicha …
14.0%
| Mar 08 | Welayta… v Sidama … | 3-1 |
| Mar 04 | Welayta… v Awassa … | 1-1 |
| Feb 26 | Welayta… v Dire Da… | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | Welayta… v Mekelak… | 4-3 |
| Feb 06 | Welayta… v Ethiopi… | 1-0 |
| Jan 30 | Welayta… v Dire Da… | 1-1 |
| Jan 26 | Welayta… v Mebrat … | 0-0 |
| Jan 20 | Welayta… v Bahardar | 0-0 |
| Jan 16 | Welayta… v Negelle… | 1-1 |
| Jan 10 | Welayta… v Ethiopi… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Nov 07, 2025 | Welayta Dicha… | 2-2 | Mekelle Kenema |
| Apr 03, 2025 | Welayta Dicha… | 1-0 | Mekelle Kenema |
| Feb 04, 2025 | Mekelle Kenema | 0-1 | Welayta Dicha… |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
42%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Welayta Dicha SC in strong form (3W in last 5)
Mekelle Kenema struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.