Premier League · Mar 14, 2026 15:00
Awassa Kenema
PWR 35
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
PWR 35
PWR 35
2-2
predicted
Awassa Kenema
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Awassa Kenema Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (16%)0-2 (13%)1-1 (11%)0-0 (10%)1-2 (9%)0-3 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS
No 40%
Over 3.5
13%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Ethiopia Nigd …
WLLWD
STABLE
Awassa Kenema
WDLDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_POSITION_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskCombined DR 64% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (29.6%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
Ethiopia Nigd …vs
1.66
Awassa KenemaGoal Probability
Ethiopia Ni…
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Awassa Kene…
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (18%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (11%)1-0 (10%)1-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 2.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#13
Ethiopia Ni…-11
Gap#2
Awassa Kene…
WR 36% 27 pts
WR 46% 40 pts
Ethiopia Nigd …
10.0%
| Mar 09 | Ethiopi… v Dire Da… | 1-2 |
| Mar 03 | Ethiopi… v Mekelak… | 0-2 |
| Feb 27 | Ethiopi… v Suhul S… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Ethiopi… v Fasil K… | 3-1 |
| Feb 05 | Ethiopi… v Bahardar | 2-2 |
| Feb 01 | Ethiopi… v Negelle… | 0-2 |
| Jan 27 | Ethiopi… v Ethiopi… | 0-1 |
| Jan 21 | Ethiopi… v Dire Da… | 2-3 |
| Jan 16 | Ethiopi… v Mebrat … | 2-1 |
| Jan 10 | Ethiopi… v Hadiya … | 0-0 |
Awassa Kenema
12.0%
| Mar 10 | Awassa … v Mekelle… | 1-0 |
| Mar 04 | Awassa … v Welayta… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Awassa … v Sidama … | 1-2 |
| Feb 22 | Awassa … v Dire Da… | 1-1 |
| Feb 04 | Awassa … v Dire Da… | 0-2 |
| Jan 30 | Awassa … v Mebrat … | 2-0 |
| Jan 25 | Awassa … v Bahardar | 0-0 |
| Jan 21 | Awassa … v Negelle… | 2-0 |
| Jan 17 | Awassa … v Ethiopi… | 1-1 |
| Jan 09 | Awassa … v Kedus G… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Nov 09, 2025 | Awassa Kenema | 1-1 | Ethiopia Nigd… |
| Apr 22, 2025 | Awassa Kenema | 2-1 | Ethiopia Nigd… |
| Feb 05, 2025 | Ethiopia Nigd… | 2-0 | Awassa Kenema |
| Apr 11, 2024 | Ethiopia Nigd… | 2-1 | Awassa Kenema |
| Dec 03, 2023 | Awassa Kenema | 0-3 | Ethiopia Nigd… |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
30%
Market
50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.