Premier League · Mar 14, 2026 12:00
Arba Minch Kenema
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Ethiopian Medhin
PWR 35
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Arba Minch Kenema Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (16%)0-2 (13%)1-1 (11%)0-0 (9%)1-2 (9%)0-3 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS
No 40%
Over 3.5
4%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Arba Minch Ken…
WLWDD
STABLE
Ethiopian Medh…
DDWLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 46% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 82% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (35.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
Arba Minch Ken…vs
1.71
Ethiopian Medh…Goal Probability
Arba Minch …
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Ethiopian M…
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (28%)0-1 (18%)1-0 (18%)1-1 (11%)0-2 (6%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 72% | 28% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 2.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#20
Arba Minch …-4
Gap#16
Ethiopian M…
WR 0% 19 pts
WR 27% 25 pts
Arba Minch Ken…
12.0%
| Mar 10 | Arba Mi… v Dire Da… | 0-2 |
| Mar 04 | Arba Mi… v Mebrat … | 1-4 |
| Feb 27 | Arba Mi… v Bahardar | 0-2 |
| Feb 22 | Arba Mi… v Negelle… | 1-1 |
| Feb 06 | Arba Mi… v Dire Da… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Arba Mi… v Welwalo… | 1-2 |
| Jan 25 | Arba Mi… v Fasil K… | 2-3 |
| Jan 21 | Arba Mi… v Suhul S… | 1-0 |
| Jan 17 | Arba Mi… v Mekelak… | 0-2 |
| Jan 08 | Arba Mi… v Sidama … | 0-0 |
Ethiopian Medh…
10.0%
| Mar 09 | Ethiopi… v Hadiya … | 1-1 |
| Mar 03 | Ethiopi… v Sheger … | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | Ethiopi… v Kedus G… | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | Ethiopi… v Dire Da… | 0-1 |
| Feb 05 | Ethiopi… v Fasil K… | 0-0 |
| Jan 30 | Ethiopi… v Suhul S… | 0-0 |
| Jan 26 | Ethiopi… v Mekelak… | 0-1 |
| Jan 22 | Ethiopi… v Dire Da… | 0-0 |
| Jan 15 | Ethiopi… v Welwalo… | 0-0 |
| Jan 10 | Ethiopi… v Welayta… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 08, 2025 | Ethiopian Med… | 0-0 | Arba Minch Ke… |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
42%
Market
50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.