Premier League · Mar 13, 2026 15:00
Kedus Giorgis
PWR 35
Bahardar
PWR 35
Kedus Giorgis
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Bahardar
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Kedus Giorgis Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (25%)0-0 (20%)2-0 (17%)1-1 (8%)3-0 (7%)0-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.67x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.57x
Over 2.5
22%
Under 2.5
78%
78%
BTTS
No
No 20%
Over 3.5
1%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Kedus Giorgis
LDLDL
STABLE
Bahardar
DLLWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk39%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 50% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 5/10 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 55% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 105% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (38.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Kedus Giorgisvs
0.33
BahardarGoal Probability
Kedus Giorg…
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Bahardar
0
72%
1
24%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (41%)1-0 (19%)0-1 (18%)1-1 (8%)2-0 (4%)0-2 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 1.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#17
Kedus Giorg…-7
Gap#10
Bahardar
WR 30% 25 pts
WR 18% 28 pts
Kedus Giorgis
4.0%
| Mar 08 | Kedus G… v Sheger … | 1-0 |
| Mar 03 | Kedus G… v Negelle… | 0-0 |
| Feb 25 | Kedus G… v Ethiopi… | 3-0 |
| Feb 05 | Kedus G… v Welwalo… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Kedus G… v Fasil K… | 1-0 |
| Jan 26 | Kedus G… v Suhul S… | 0-0 |
| Jan 22 | Kedus G… v Mekelak… | 2-0 |
| Jan 17 | Kedus G… v Dire Da… | 4-0 |
| Jan 09 | Kedus G… v Awassa … | 1-0 |
| Jan 03 | Kedus G… v Welayta… | 1-1 |
Bahardar
8.0%
| Mar 09 | Bahardar v Negelle… | 0-0 |
| Mar 04 | Bahardar v Ethiopi… | 2-0 |
| Feb 27 | Bahardar v Arba Mi… | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | Bahardar v Hadiya … | 0-1 |
| Feb 05 | Bahardar v Ethiopi… | 2-2 |
| Jan 31 | Bahardar v Sidama … | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Bahardar v Awassa … | 0-0 |
| Jan 20 | Bahardar v Welayta… | 0-0 |
| Jan 15 | Bahardar v Mekelle… | 0-0 |
| Jan 10 | Bahardar v Mekelak… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 08, 2025 | Bahardar | 1-3 | Kedus Giorgis |
| Mar 02, 2025 | Kedus Giorgis | 1-4 | Bahardar |
| Dec 09, 2024 | Bahardar | 0-0 | Kedus Giorgis |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Bahardar | 1-1 | Kedus Giorgis |
| Dec 02, 2023 | Kedus Giorgis | 1-2 | Bahardar |
| Jun 10, 2023 | Kedus Giorgis | 2-2 | Bahardar |
| Dec 06, 2022 | Bahardar | 0-0 | Kedus Giorgis |
| Jun 14, 2022 | Kedus Giorgis | 2-2 | Bahardar |
| Feb 03, 2022 | Bahardar | 0-2 | Kedus Giorgis |
| May 08, 2021 | Kedus Giorgis | 2-0 | Bahardar |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
80%
Standings
36%
Market
38%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Kedus Giorgis struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.