Premier League · Mar 13, 2026 12:00
Fasil Ketema
PWR 35
Mekelakeya
PWR 35
Fasil Ketema
PWR 35
1-2
predicted
Mekelakeya
PWR 35
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Fasil Ketema Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-2 (13%)0-1 (11%)0-3 (10%)1-2 (9%)1-1 (8%)1-3 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.6x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.56x
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS
No 45%
Over 3.5
7%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Fasil Ketema
DLLLL
STABLE
Mekelakeya
DWDLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 4% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 30% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 3/9 draws (33%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (34.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
Fasil Ketemavs
2.34
MekelakeyaGoal Probability
Fasil Ketema
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Mekelakeya
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (22%)0-1 (22%)1-0 (11%)1-1 (11%)0-2 (11%)1-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 2.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Fasil Ketema-2
Gap#4
Mekelakeya
WR 50% 34 pts
WR 55% 35 pts
Fasil Ketema
2.0%
| Mar 09 | Fasil K… v Suhul S… | 1-1 |
| Mar 04 | Fasil K… v Sidama … | 1-0 |
| Feb 27 | Fasil K… v Welwalo… | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Fasil K… v Ethiopi… | 3-1 |
| Feb 09 | Fasil K… v Hadiya … | 0-1 |
| Feb 05 | Fasil K… v Ethiopi… | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Fasil K… v Kedus G… | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Fasil K… v Arba Mi… | 2-3 |
| Jan 16 | Fasil K… v Sheger … | 0-0 |
| Jan 10 | Fasil K… v Ethiopi… | 0-2 |
Mekelakeya
10.0%
| Mar 08 | Mekelak… v Welwalo… | 0-0 |
| Mar 03 | Mekelak… v Ethiopi… | 0-2 |
| Feb 26 | Mekelak… v Mekelle… | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Mekelak… v Welayta… | 4-3 |
| Feb 04 | Mekelak… v Hadiya … | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Mekelak… v Sheger … | 0-1 |
| Jan 26 | Mekelak… v Ethiopi… | 0-1 |
| Jan 22 | Mekelak… v Kedus G… | 2-0 |
| Jan 17 | Mekelak… v Arba Mi… | 0-2 |
| Jan 10 | Mekelak… v Bahardar | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Nov 09, 2025 | Mekelakeya | 0-0 | Fasil Ketema |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Mekelakeya | 2-4 | Fasil Ketema |
| Jan 21, 2025 | Fasil Ketema | 1-1 | Mekelakeya |
| Jun 14, 2024 | Fasil Ketema | 0-1 | Mekelakeya |
| Jan 25, 2024 | Mekelakeya | 0-0 | Fasil Ketema |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Mekelakeya | 0-1 | Fasil Ketema |
| Oct 21, 2022 | Fasil Ketema | 0-1 | Mekelakeya |
| May 18, 2022 | Mekelakeya | 1-2 | Fasil Ketema |
| Dec 21, 2021 | Fasil Ketema | 1-0 | Mekelakeya |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
46%
Market
38%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Fasil Ketema struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.