Premier League · Mar 13, 2026 12:00
Hadiya Hosaena
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Sheger Ketema
PWR 35
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Hadiya Hosaena to win (63% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
63%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (11%)2-1 (9%)1-2 (8%)1-0 (7%)2-2 (7%)0-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.51x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.68x
Over 2.5
60%
60%
Under 2.5
40%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 63%
Over 3.5
2%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Hadiya Hosaena
DDWLW
STABLE
Sheger Ketema
WDDDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 2% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 4/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 70% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Hadiya Hosaenavs
1.56
Sheger KetemaGoal Probability
Hadiya Hosa…
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Sheger Kete…
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4
5%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (38%)1-0 (20%)0-1 (17%)1-1 (9%)2-0 (5%)0-2 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 1.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Hadiya Hosa…+5
Gap#14
Sheger Kete…
WR 25% 29 pts
WR 27% 27 pts
Hadiya Hosaena
12.0%
| Mar 09 | Hadiya … v Ethiopi… | 1-1 |
| Mar 05 | Hadiya … v Dire Da… | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | Hadiya … v Mebrat … | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Hadiya … v Bahardar | 0-1 |
| Feb 09 | Hadiya … v Fasil K… | 0-1 |
| Feb 04 | Hadiya … v Mekelak… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Hadiya … v Dire Da… | 2-0 |
| Jan 25 | Hadiya … v Welwalo… | 1-2 |
| Jan 16 | Hadiya … v Suhul S… | 3-1 |
| Jan 10 | Hadiya … v Ethiopi… | 0-0 |
Sheger Ketema
12.0%
| Mar 08 | Sheger … v Kedus G… | 1-0 |
| Mar 03 | Sheger … v Ethiopi… | 1-1 |
| Feb 26 | Sheger … v Dire Da… | 3-3 |
| Feb 22 | Sheger … v Mebrat … | 0-0 |
| Feb 04 | Sheger … v Suhul S… | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Sheger … v Mekelak… | 0-1 |
| Jan 27 | Sheger … v Dire Da… | 0-0 |
| Jan 21 | Sheger … v Welwalo… | 1-1 |
| Jan 16 | Sheger … v Fasil K… | 0-0 |
| Jan 09 | Sheger … v Mekelle… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 09, 2025 | Sheger Ketema | 1-1 | Hadiya Hosaena |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
57%
Market
43%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.