Queensland Premier League · Mar 14, 2026 08:00
SC Wanderers
PWR 35
Capalaba
PWR 35
SC Wanderers
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Capalaba
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-2 (7%)2-3 (6%)1-2 (6%)1-3 (5%)3-2 (5%)2-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
82%
Home/Draw
1.28x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.77x
Over 2.5
79%
79%
Under 2.5
21%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 83%
Over 3.5
70%
70%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
SC Wanderers
WDDLL
STABLE
Capalaba
DLLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 100% at home = very high riskPoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 125% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.28
SC Wanderersvs
2.66
CapalabaGoal Probability
SC Wanderers
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Capalaba
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
15%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (7%)3-1 (7%)2-2 (6%)3-2 (6%)4-1 (5%)1-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 70% | 31% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 5.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
SC Wanderers+3
Gap#12
Capalaba
WR 0% 2 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
SC Wanderers
8.0%
| Mar 07 | SC Wand… v North S… | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | SC Wand… v Holland… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | SC Wand… v Redland… | 1-1 |
| Aug 23 | SC Wand… v Gold Co… | 2-1 |
| Aug 19 | SC Wand… v Eastern… | 1-5 |
| Aug 15 | SC Wand… v WDSC Wo… | 2-6 |
| Aug 10 | SC Wand… v St Geor… | 3-2 |
| Aug 02 | SC Wand… v Brisban… | 1-4 |
| Jul 19 | SC Wand… v Gold Co… | 1-3 |
| Jun 16 | SC Wand… v Redland… | 2-2 |
Capalaba
6.0%
| Mar 07 | Capalaba v Logan L… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Capalaba v Brisban… | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | Capalaba v Caboolt… | 1-3 |
| Aug 24 | Capalaba v Magic U… | 1-6 |
| Aug 16 | Capalaba v Redland… | 0-1 |
| Aug 02 | Capalaba v Holland… | 2-3 |
| Jul 04 | Capalaba v Caboolt… | 4-1 |
| Jun 28 | Capalaba v Caboolt… | 1-2 |
| Jun 15 | Capalaba v Logan L… | 3-1 |
| May 31 | Capalaba v Brisban… | 4-1 |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
46%
Standings
55%
Market
65%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Capalaba struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.