Serie A · Mar 18, 2026 23:00
Atletico-MG
PWR 35
São Paulo FC
PWR 35
Atletico-MG
PWR 35
2-2
predicted
São Paulo FC
PWR 35
31%
28%
41%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
São Paulo FC Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (12%)2-0 (11%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (7%)3-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
BTTS
Yes 50%
Over 3.5
33%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Atletico-MG
WLDLD
STABLE
São Paulo FC
LWWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_POSITION_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 67% at home = very high riskH2H: 3/6 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 92% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (31.6%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Atletico-MGvs
0.90
São Paulo FCGoal Probability
Atletico-MG
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
São Paulo FC
0
41%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)2-1 (9%)1-0 (9%)1-2 (8%)0-1 (7%)2-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 22% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 3.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#12
Atletico-MG-10
Gap#2
São Paulo FC
WR 33% 5 pts
WR 50% 10 pts
Atletico-MG
8.0%
| Mar 11 | Atletic… v Interna… | 1-0 |
| Mar 08 | Atletic… v Cruzeiro | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Atletic… v América… | 0-0 |
| Feb 26 | Atletic… v Remo | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Atletic… v América… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Atletic… v Itabiri… | 2-7 |
| Feb 11 | Atletic… v Remo | 3-3 |
| Feb 07 | Atletic… v Athleti… | 1-1 |
| Feb 04 | Atletic… v RB Brag… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Atletic… v Pouso A… | 1-3 |
São Paulo FC
16.0%
| Mar 01 | São Pau… v Palmeir… | 2-1 |
| Feb 25 | São Pau… v Corinth… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | São Pau… v RB Brag… | 1-2 |
| Feb 15 | São Pau… v Ponte P… | 1-2 |
| Feb 12 | São Pau… v Remo | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | São Pau… v Primave… | 2-1 |
| Feb 04 | São Pau… v Santos | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | São Pau… v Santos | 2-0 |
| Jan 29 | São Pau… v Flamengo | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | São Pau… v Palmeir… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Aug 24, 2025 | São Paulo FC | 2-0 | Atletico-MG |
| Apr 06, 2025 | Atletico-MG | 0-0 | São Paulo FC |
| Nov 24, 2024 | São Paulo FC | 2-2 | Atletico-MG |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Atletico-MG | 0-0 | São Paulo FC |
| Aug 29, 2024 | São Paulo FC | 0-1 | Atletico-MG |
| Dec 03, 2023 | Atletico-MG | 2-1 | São Paulo FC |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
80%
Standings
30%
Market
50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
São Paulo FC in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.