Serie A · Mar 18, 2026 22:30
Athletico Paranaense
PWR 35
Cruzeiro
PWR 35
Athletico Paranaense
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Cruzeiro
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Athletico Paranaense Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (16%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
32%
Under 2.5
68%
68%
BTTS
No 38%
Over 3.5
6%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Athletico Para…
WLWDD
STABLE
Cruzeiro
LWWDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
POSITION_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (26.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Athletico Para…vs
0.81
CruzeiroGoal Probability
Athletico P…
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
3%
Cruzeiro
0
45%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (23%)0-1 (17%)1-0 (17%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (6%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 78% | 23% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
| 2.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Athletico P…+12
Gap#18
Cruzeiro
WR 50% 7 pts
WR 0% 3 pts
Athletico Para…
12.0%
| Mar 07 | Athleti… v Santos | 2-1 |
| Mar 07 | Athleti… v Goiás | 0-2 |
| Mar 02 | Athleti… v Santos | 0-2 |
| Mar 01 | Athleti… v Vila No… | 0-0 |
| Feb 25 | Athleti… v RB Brag… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Athleti… v Vila No… | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Athleti… v Londrina | 0-1 |
| Feb 19 | Athleti… v Corinth… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Athleti… v ABECAT … | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Athleti… v Londrina | 2-2 |
Cruzeiro
12.0%
| Mar 12 | Cruzeiro v Flamengo | 2-0 |
| Mar 08 | Cruzeiro v Atletic… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Cruzeiro v Pouso A… | 1-0 |
| Feb 25 | Cruzeiro v Corinth… | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | Cruzeiro v Platense | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Cruzeiro v Pouso A… | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Cruzeiro v Uniao T… | 1-2 |
| Feb 11 | Cruzeiro v Mirassol | 2-2 |
| Feb 11 | Cruzeiro v Municip… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Cruzeiro v América… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 30, 2023 | Cruzeiro | 1-1 | Athletico Par… |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
64%
Standings
84%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.