Serie A · Mar 15, 2026 23:30
Cruzeiro
PWR 35
Vasco DA Gama
PWR 35
Cruzeiro
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Vasco DA Gama
PWR 35
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Cruzeiro Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (20%)1-0 (17%)3-0 (16%)0-0 (7%)2-1 (5%)1-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS
No
No 21%
Over 3.5
24%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Cruzeiro
LWWDD
STABLE
Vasco DA Gama
DDLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskPoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (34.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.36
Cruzeirovs
0.27
Vasco DA GamaGoal Probability
Cruzeiro
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Vasco DA Ga…
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (16%)2-0 (15%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 3.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#18
Cruzeiro+2
Gap#20
Vasco DA Ga…
WR 0% 3 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
Cruzeiro
12.0%
| Mar 12 | Cruzeiro v Flamengo | 2-0 |
| Mar 08 | Cruzeiro v Atletic… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Cruzeiro v Pouso A… | 1-0 |
| Feb 25 | Cruzeiro v Corinth… | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | Cruzeiro v Platense | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Cruzeiro v Pouso A… | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Cruzeiro v Uniao T… | 1-2 |
| Feb 11 | Cruzeiro v Mirassol | 2-2 |
| Feb 11 | Cruzeiro v Municip… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Cruzeiro v América… | 2-0 |
Vasco DA Gama
4.0%
| Mar 05 | Vasco D… v São Fra… | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | Vasco D… v Flumine… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Vasco D… v Galvez | 5-2 |
| Feb 26 | Vasco D… v Santos | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Vasco D… v Flumine… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Vasco D… v Volta R… | 1-1 |
| Feb 12 | Vasco D… v Bahia | 0-1 |
| Feb 10 | Vasco D… v Indepen… | 1-3 |
| Feb 08 | Vasco D… v Botafogo | 2-0 |
| Feb 05 | Vasco D… v Chapeco… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Sep 27, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama | 2-0 | Cruzeiro |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Cruzeiro | 1-0 | Vasco DA Gama |
| Nov 22, 2023 | Cruzeiro | 2-2 | Vasco DA Gama |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
53%
Market
50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Vasco DA Gama struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.