Serie A · Mar 15, 2026 19:00
Fluminense
PWR 35
Athletico Paranaense
PWR 35
Fluminense
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Athletico Paranaense
PWR 35
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Fluminense Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (38%)0-1 (25%)1-0 (11%)0-2 (9%)1-1 (8%)1-2 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
7%
Under 2.5
93%
93%
BTTS
No
No 13%
Over 3.5
3%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Fluminense
DLDDD
STABLE
Athletico Para…
WLWDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateBoth teams defensive = 40.0% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 2/3 draws (67%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (32.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Fluminensevs
0.67
Athletico Para…Goal Probability
Fluminense
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Athletico P…
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (32%)0-1 (20%)1-0 (17%)1-1 (10%)0-2 (6%)2-0 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Fluminense+1
Gap#6
Athletico P…
WR 100% 7 pts
WR 50% 7 pts
Fluminense
8.0%
| Mar 08 | Flumine… v Flamengo | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Flumine… v Sousa | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | Flumine… v Ferrovi… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Flumine… v Vasco D… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Flumine… v Santo A… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Flumine… v Sousa | 0-1 |
| Feb 26 | Flumine… v Palmeir… | 2-1 |
| Feb 25 | Flumine… v São Ber… | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Flumine… v Grêmio … | 0-2 |
| Feb 22 | Flumine… v Vasco D… | 0-1 |
Athletico Para…
12.0%
| Mar 07 | Athleti… v Santos | 2-1 |
| Mar 07 | Athleti… v Goiás | 0-2 |
| Mar 02 | Athleti… v Santos | 0-2 |
| Mar 01 | Athleti… v Vila No… | 0-0 |
| Feb 25 | Athleti… v RB Brag… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Athleti… v Vila No… | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Athleti… v Londrina | 0-1 |
| Feb 19 | Athleti… v Corinth… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Athleti… v ABECAT … | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Athleti… v Londrina | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Feb 09, 2025 | Athletico Par… | 1-1 | Fluminense |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Fluminense | 1-0 | Athletico Par… |
| Dec 01, 2024 | Athletico Par… | 1-1 | Fluminense |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
46%
Standings
67%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.