Serie A · Mar 14, 2026 21:30
Vitoria
PWR 35
Atletico-MG
PWR 35
Vitoria
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Atletico-MG
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Vitoria Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (14%)3-0 (12%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)1-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
No 41%
Over 3.5
41%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Vitoria
DWLWD
STABLE
Atletico-MG
WLDLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANT
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (28.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.64
Vitoriavs
0.59
Atletico-MGGoal Probability
Vitoria
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Atletico-MG
0
55%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 64% | 37% | - |
| 3.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 4.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
Vitoria-3
Gap#12
Atletico-MG
WR 50% 4 pts
WR 0% 5 pts
Vitoria
12.0%
| Mar 11 | Vitoria v Bahia | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Vitoria v Porto V… | 0-4 |
| Mar 07 | Vitoria v Bahia | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Vitoria v Fortale… | 4-1 |
| Feb 23 | Vitoria v Fortale… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Vitoria v GalĂcia | 3-0 |
| Feb 18 | Vitoria v Bahia d… | 1-0 |
| Feb 12 | Vitoria v Serra T… | 1-2 |
| Feb 11 | Vitoria v Flamengo | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Vitoria v Rio Bra… | 3-0 |
Atletico-MG
8.0%
| Mar 11 | Atletic… v Interna… | 1-0 |
| Mar 08 | Atletic… v Cruzeiro | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Atletic… v América… | 0-0 |
| Feb 26 | Atletic… v Remo | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Atletic… v América… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Atletic… v Itabiri… | 2-7 |
| Feb 11 | Atletic… v Remo | 3-3 |
| Feb 07 | Atletic… v Athleti… | 1-1 |
| Feb 04 | Atletic… v RB Brag… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Atletic… v Pouso A… | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Aug 31, 2025 | Vitoria | 1-0 | Atletico-MG |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Atletico-MG | 2-2 | Vitoria |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.