Serie A · Mar 12, 2026 22:30
Vasco DA Gama
PWR 35
Palmeiras
PWR 35
Vasco DA Gama
PWR 35
1-4
predicted
Palmeiras
PWR 35
25%
29%
46%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Palmeiras Win
Score
1-4
Confidence
65%
TierPREMIUM
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (16%)0-0 (13%)1-1 (13%)1-0 (10%)0-2 (10%)1-2 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.81x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.51x
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%
67%
BTTS
No 39%
Over 3.5
43%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Vasco DA Gama
DDLLL
STABLE
Palmeiras
WLWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy77%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_FORM_DOMINANTAWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_TABLE_EXTREMES
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 50% at home = very high riskH2H: 2/8 draws (25%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (28.6%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Vasco DA Gamavs
1.25
PalmeirasGoal Probability
Vasco DA Ga…
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Palmeiras
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (10%)1-1 (9%)0-2 (8%)0-1 (8%)1-3 (7%)2-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 65% | 35% | - |
| 3.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 4.5 | 25% | 76% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#20
Vasco DA Ga…-19
Gap#1
Palmeiras
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 50% 10 pts
Vasco DA Gama
4.0%
| Mar 05 | Vasco D… v São Fra… | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | Vasco D… v Flumine… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Vasco D… v Galvez | 5-2 |
| Feb 26 | Vasco D… v Santos | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Vasco D… v Flumine… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Vasco D… v Volta R… | 1-1 |
| Feb 12 | Vasco D… v Bahia | 0-1 |
| Feb 10 | Vasco D… v Indepen… | 1-3 |
| Feb 08 | Vasco D… v Botafogo | 2-0 |
| Feb 05 | Vasco D… v Chapeco… | 1-1 |
Palmeiras
16.0%
| Mar 08 | Palmeir… v Novoriz… | 1-2 |
| Mar 07 | Palmeir… v Bela Vi… | 2-5 |
| Mar 04 | Palmeir… v Novoriz… | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Palmeir… v São Pau… | 2-1 |
| Feb 26 | Palmeir… v Flumine… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Palmeir… v Capivar… | 4-0 |
| Feb 21 | Palmeir… v Capital | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Palmeir… v GuaranĂ… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Palmeir… v Tocanti… | 0-1 |
| Feb 13 | Palmeir… v Interna… | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Oct 01, 2025 | Palmeiras | 3-0 | Vasco DA Gama |
| May 04, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama | 0-1 | Palmeiras |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Vasco DA Gama | 0-1 | Palmeiras |
| Jun 14, 2024 | Palmeiras | 2-0 | Vasco DA Gama |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Palmeiras | 1-0 | Vasco DA Gama |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Vasco DA Gama | 2-2 | Palmeiras |
| Jan 26, 2021 | Palmeiras | 1-1 | Vasco DA Gama |
| Nov 08, 2020 | Vasco DA Gama | 0-1 | Palmeiras |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
45%
Standings
30%
Market
35%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Palmeiras in strong form (4W in last 5)
Vasco DA Gama struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.