Liga Pro · Mar 18, 2026 21:30
Manta
PWR 35
Guayaquil City
PWR 35
Manta
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Guayaquil City
PWR 35
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (16%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (12%)0-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
39%
Under 2.5
61%
61%
BTTS
No 41%
Over 3.5
13%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Manta
DLLWW
STABLE
Guayaquil City
LDLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Mantavs
0.77
Guayaquil CityGoal Probability
Manta
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
Guayaquil C…
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (15%)0-0 (15%)1-1 (14%)0-1 (13%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 58% | 43% | - |
| 2.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#14
Manta+1
Gap#15
Guayaquil C…
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
Manta
10.0%
| Mar 10 | Manta v Orense … | 1-1 |
| Mar 03 | Manta v Indepen… | 0-2 |
| Feb 24 | Manta v Liberta… | 1-0 |
| Nov 29 | Manta v Tecnico… | 2-3 |
| Nov 22 | Manta v Cuniburo | 3-1 |
| Nov 08 | Manta v Mushuc … | 3-0 |
| Nov 02 | Manta v Cuniburo | 2-0 |
| Oct 25 | Manta v Mushuc … | 1-1 |
| Oct 19 | Manta v Tecnico… | 2-0 |
| Sep 27 | Manta v Macará | 1-3 |
Guayaquil City
4.0%
| Mar 07 | Guayaqu… v DelfĂn … | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Guayaqu… v Aucas | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Guayaqu… v Indepen… | 2-0 |
| Feb 08 | Guayaqu… v Deporti… | 0-0 |
| Feb 05 | Guayaqu… v Barcelo… | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | Guayaqu… v FC Barc… | 0-1 |
| Oct 18 | Guayaqu… v 9 de Oc… | 1-1 |
| Oct 12 | Guayaqu… v San Ant… | 1-3 |
| Oct 05 | Guayaqu… v Gualace… | 1-0 |
| Sep 26 | Guayaqu… v UT Coto… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 29, 2024 | Guayaquil City | 3-0 | Manta |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
70%
Standings
52%
Market
50%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Guayaquil City struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.