Liga Pro · Mar 15, 2026 20:30
Emelec
PWR 35
Orense SC
PWR 35
Emelec
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Orense SC
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (26%)0-0 (20%)2-0 (17%)1-1 (8%)3-0 (7%)0-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
22%
Under 2.5
78%
78%
BTTS
No
No 20%
Over 3.5
18%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Emelec
LDLWL
STABLE
Orense SC
DLDLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 100% at home = very high riskPoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskCombined DR 125% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Emelecvs
0.32
Orense SCGoal Probability
Emelec
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Orense SC
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)0-1 (12%)1-0 (12%)0-0 (11%)1-2 (7%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 65% | 35% | - |
| 2.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 3.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#16
Emelec-7
Gap#9
Orense SC
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 0% 2 pts
Emelec
6.0%
| Mar 07 | Emelec v Barcelo… | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Emelec v DelfĂn … | 1-1 |
| Dec 20 | Emelec v Deporti… | 5-1 |
| Dec 16 | Emelec v El Naci… | 5-0 |
| Dec 09 | Emelec v Macará | 0-2 |
| Nov 30 | Emelec v DelfĂn … | 0-1 |
| Nov 23 | Emelec v Aucas | 0-2 |
| Nov 09 | Emelec v El Naci… | 2-1 |
| Nov 02 | Emelec v Macará | 3-0 |
| Oct 26 | Emelec v DelfĂn … | 1-0 |
Orense SC
8.0%
| Mar 10 | Orense … v Manta | 1-1 |
| Mar 06 | Orense … v Macará | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Orense … v Tecnico… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Orense … v LDU Qui… | 1-2 |
| Dec 21 | Orense … v Liberta… | 3-2 |
| Dec 14 | Orense … v FC Barc… | 2-1 |
| Dec 06 | Orense … v LDU Qui… | 2-1 |
| Nov 29 | Orense … v Univers… | 0-0 |
| Nov 23 | Orense … v Indepen… | 0-0 |
| Nov 09 | Orense … v FC Barc… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Sep 28, 2025 | Orense SC | 0-0 | Emelec |
| Jun 01, 2025 | Emelec | 1-0 | Orense SC |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
80%
Standings
36%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Emelec struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.