Primera DivisiĂłn · Mar 14, 2026 21:00

Monagas SC
PWR 35

Monagas SC
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Academia Anzoátegui
PWR 35
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)1-1 (6%)3-2 (6%)1-2 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
73%
73%
Under 2.5
27%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 74%
Over 3.5
29%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Monagas SC
WDLLL
STABLE
Academia Anzoá…
LDLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.58
Monagas SCvs
1.61
Academia Anzoá…Goal Probability
Monagas SC
0
8%
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Academia An…
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (9%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (9%)1-2 (8%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#14
Monagas SC-2
Gap#12
Academia An…
WR 33% 3 pts
WR 33% 4 pts
Monagas SC
6.0%
| Mar 08 | Monagas… v Trujill… | 3-1 |
| Mar 04 | Monagas… v Puerto … | 0-0 |
| Feb 27 | Monagas… v Portugu… | 4-0 |
| Feb 22 | Monagas… v Deporti… | 2-3 |
| Feb 13 | Monagas… v Carabob… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Monagas… v UCV | 0-3 |
| Jan 31 | Monagas… v Real Es… | 2-0 |
| Nov 08 | Monagas… v Zamora | 1-0 |
| Nov 04 | Monagas… v Puerto … | 3-2 |
| Oct 31 | Monagas… v Real Es… | 2-1 |
Academia Anzoá…
6.0%
| Mar 08 | Academi… v Puerto … | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Academi… v Trujill… | 1-1 |
| Feb 23 | Academi… v Estudia… | 0-3 |
| Feb 14 | Academi… v Portugu… | 0-3 |
| Feb 06 | Academi… v Rayo Zu… | 1-3 |
| Jan 29 | Academi… v Deporti… | 3-1 |
| Oct 05 | Academi… v Monagas… | 2-2 |
| Sep 27 | Academi… v Zamora | 2-1 |
| Sep 20 | Academi… v Carabob… | 0-0 |
| Sep 12 | Academi… v Yaracuy… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Oct 05, 2025 | Academia Anzo… | 2-2 | Monagas SC |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Monagas SC | 2-3 | Academia Anzo… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
80%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Monagas SC struggling (3L in last 5)
Academia Anzoátegui struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.