Liga 3 · Mar 15, 2026 11:00
Guimaraes
PWR 45
Trofense
PWR 35
Guimaraes
PWR 45
1-1
predicted
Trofense
PWR 35
61%
22%
17%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (13%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
BTTS
No 46%
Over 3.5
20%
Team Comparison
40Attack0
59Defense100
Goals/G
1.10.0
Conc/G
1.20.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Guimaraes
WLWDW
STABLE
Trofense
LDLLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League has >30% draw rate
High draw league: Liga 3
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Guimaraesvs
0.77
TrofenseGoal Probability
Guimaraes
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Trofense
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (15%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (12%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 3.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#14
Guimaraes-1
Gap#13
Trofense
WR 36% 59 pts
WR 40% 61 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes | 45 | 16 | 11 | 18 | 51 | 53 | 59 |
| Trofense | 43 | 17 | 10 | 16 | 55 | 48 | 61 |
Guimaraes
14.0%
| Mar 08 | Guimara… v Mafra | 1-2 |
| Mar 08 | Guimara… v Santa C… | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Guimara… v Varzim | 3-0 |
| Feb 28 | Guimara… v Alverca | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Guimara… v União S… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Guimara… v SC Braga | 3-2 |
| Feb 15 | Guimara… v CF Os B… | 2-2 |
| Feb 14 | Guimara… v Estrela… | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | Guimara… v Arouca | 3-2 |
| Feb 06 | Guimara… v Academi… | 1-0 |
Trofense
4.0%
| Mar 08 | Trofense v Amarante | 1-0 |
| Feb 27 | Trofense v Mafra | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Trofense v Varzim | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Trofense v União S… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Trofense v CF Os B… | 0-0 |
| Jan 25 | Trofense v Amarante | 1-1 |
| Jan 18 | Trofense v AD Marc… | 0-1 |
| Jan 10 | Trofense v Sanjoan… | 2-4 |
| Jan 04 | Trofense v Guimara… | 0-1 |
| Dec 20 | Trofense v Varzim | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Jan 04, 2026 | Trofense | 0-1 | Guimaraes |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Guimaraes | 1-2 | Trofense |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
83%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Guimaraes in strong form (3W in last 5)
Trofense struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.