Liga 3 · Mar 14, 2026 16:00

SC Covilha
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Lusitano Évora 1911
PWR 35
53% 23% 24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (21%)0-1 (18%)1-0 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (8%)1-2 (5%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
21%
Under 2.5 79%
79%
BTTS No
No 30%
Over 3.5
9%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
SC Covilha LWWWL
STABLE
Lusitano Évora… LDWLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League has >30% draw rate
High draw league: Liga 3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
SC Covilha
vs
0.86
Lusitano Évora…
Goal Probability
SC Covilha
0
49%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Lusitano Év…
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (19%)1-0 (17%)0-1 (15%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (7%)0-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 81% 19% OVER
1.5 49% 51% -
2.5 23% 77% UNDER
3.5 9% 91% UNDER
4.5 3% 97% UNDER
5.5 1% 99% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#10
SC Covilha
-5
Gap
#5
Lusitano Év…
WR 17% 16 pts WR 33% 22 pts
SC Covilha 12.0%
Mar 07 SC Covi… v 1º Deze… 0-2
Feb 28 SC Covi… v Atlétic… 1-2
Feb 22 SC Covi… v Caldas 1-0
Feb 15 SC Covi… v Amora 0-3
Jan 24 SC Covi… v Amora 2-0
Jan 17 SC Covi… v Atlétic… 0-0
Jan 14 SC Covi… v Academi… 1-1
Jan 04 SC Covi… v Lusitan… 2-1
Dec 21 SC Covi… v CF Os B… 0-4
Dec 13 SC Covi… v Mafra 2-0
Lusitano Évora… 8.0%
Mar 07 Lusitan… v Caldas 0-1
Feb 28 Lusitan… v 1º Deze… 1-1
Feb 22 Lusitan… v Amora 1-0
Feb 15 Lusitan… v Atlétic… 3-0
Jan 24 Lusitan… v 1º Deze… 1-1
Jan 17 Lusitan… v Caldas 1-0
Jan 10 Lusitan… v Amora 1-1
Jan 04 Lusitan… v SC Covi… 2-1
Dec 27 Lusitan… v Fafe 0-1
Dec 21 Lusitan… v Academi… 3-1
Head-to-Head (4)
Jan 04, 2026 Lusitano Évor… 2-1 SC Covilha
Nov 22, 2025 SC Covilha 0-2 Lusitano Évor…
Sep 28, 2025 SC Covilha 1-1 Lusitano Évor…
Sep 24, 2023 Lusitano Évor… 0-0 SC Covilha
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
40%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
SC Covilha in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.