Primera C · Mar 14, 2026 18:30
Lujan
PWR 51
El Porvenir
PWR 36
Lujan
PWR 51
2-1
predicted
El Porvenir
PWR 36
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Lujan Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (38%)0-1 (19%)1-0 (18%)1-1 (9%)0-2 (5%)2-0 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
7%
Under 2.5
93%
93%
BTTS
No
No 15%
Over 3.5
3%
Team Comparison
40Attack29
67Defense56
Goals/G
1.10.8
Conc/G
0.91.2
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Lujan
DWWLD
STABLE
El Porvenir
DDLDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.47
Lujanvs
0.49
El PorvenirGoal Probability
Lujan
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
El Porvenir
0
61%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (32%)1-0 (18%)0-1 (18%)1-1 (10%)2-0 (5%)0-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Lujan+18
Gap#19
El Porvenir
WR 44% 136 pts
WR 22% 43 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lujan | 85 | 37 | 25 | 23 | 96 | 79 | 136 |
| El Porvenir | 45 | 10 | 13 | 22 | 37 | 56 | 43 |
Lujan
12.0%
| Feb 28 | Lujan v FĂ©nix | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Lujan v JJ Urqu… | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | Lujan v Sacachi… | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | Lujan v Sportiv… | 0-1 |
| Oct 18 | Lujan v Sportiv… | 1-1 |
| Oct 13 | Lujan v Sportiv… | 0-0 |
| Oct 04 | Lujan v Canuelas | 3-1 |
| Oct 03 | Lujan v El Porv… | 1-0 |
| Sep 27 | Lujan v Canuelas | 0-2 |
| Sep 27 | Lujan v El Porv… | 1-1 |
El Porvenir
10.0%
| Mar 09 | El Porv… v Leones … | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | El Porv… v General… | 1-1 |
| Oct 03 | El Porv… v Lujan | 1-0 |
| Sep 27 | El Porv… v Lujan | 1-1 |
| Sep 16 | El Porv… v Puerto … | 1-2 |
| Sep 05 | El Porv… v Lujan | 2-1 |
| Aug 29 | El Porv… v Berazat… | 0-0 |
| Aug 24 | El Porv… v Ituzain… | 1-1 |
| Aug 18 | El Porv… v Deporti… | 0-2 |
| Aug 10 | El Porv… v Claypole | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Oct 03, 2025 | Lujan | 1-0 | El Porvenir |
| Sep 27, 2025 | El Porvenir | 1-1 | Lujan |
| Sep 05, 2025 | El Porvenir | 2-1 | Lujan |
| May 25, 2025 | Lujan | 2-0 | El Porvenir |
| Aug 13, 2024 | Lujan | 0-0 | El Porvenir |
| Mar 23, 2024 | El Porvenir | 0-2 | Lujan |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Lujan | 0-1 | El Porvenir |
| Jul 02, 2022 | El Porvenir | 2-3 | Lujan |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Lujan | 2-1 | El Porvenir |
| Nov 11, 2021 | El Porvenir | 0-1 | Lujan |
Decision Breakdown
TOP3vsBot (75.8%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.