1st Division · Mar 18, 2026 13:00
Pogradeci
PWR 35
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
PWR 35
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Pogradeci Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (21%)1-0 (21%)3-0 (15%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (5%)1-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
39%
Under 2.5
61%
61%
BTTS
No
No 18%
Over 3.5
17%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Pogradeci
LWWWD
STABLE
Iliria Fushë-K…
DDDWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANT
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateAway team drew 4/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskAway draws 45% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 73% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09
Pogradecivs
0.23
Iliria Fushë-K…Goal Probability
Pogradeci
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Iliria Fush…
0
80%
1
18%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (19%)2-0 (16%)0-0 (12%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 2.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 3.5 | 17% | 84% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Pogradeci+3
Gap#6
Iliria Fush…
WR 55% 43 pts
WR 18% 29 pts
Pogradeci
14.0%
| Mar 07 | Pograde… v Korabi … | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Pograde… v Apoloni… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Pograde… v Lushnja | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Pograde… v Burreli | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | Pograde… v Apoloni… | 2-2 |
| Jan 31 | Pograde… v Korabi … | 3-1 |
| Jan 24 | Pograde… v Kastrio… | 2-4 |
| Jan 17 | Pograde… v Besa Ka… | 0-0 |
| Jan 10 | Pograde… v Vllazni… | 1-0 |
| Dec 20 | Pograde… v Luftëta… | 2-3 |
Iliria Fushë-K…
12.0%
| Mar 07 | Iliria … v Burreli | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Iliria … v FK Kuke… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Iliria … v Besa Ka… | 0-0 |
| Feb 15 | Iliria … v Lushnja | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Iliria … v Burreli | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Iliria … v Apoloni… | 2-0 |
| Jan 24 | Iliria … v Korabi … | 2-1 |
| Jan 17 | Iliria … v Kastrio… | 0-1 |
| Dec 21 | Iliria … v Besa Ka… | 3-1 |
| Dec 17 | Iliria … v Skender… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Nov 29, 2025 | Pogradeci | 0-0 | Iliria Fushë-… |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Iliria Fushë-… | 0-0 | Pogradeci |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
92%
Standings
65%
Market
50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Pogradeci in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.