1st Division · Mar 14, 2026 13:00
Besa Kavajë
PWR 35
Besa Kavajë
PWR 35
2-2
predicted
Pogradeci
PWR 35
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Pogradeci Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (7%)3-1 (6%)2-2 (6%)3-2 (6%)1-1 (5%)1-2 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
77%
77%
Under 2.5
23%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 80%
Over 3.5
21%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Besa Kavajë
WWDLD
STABLE
Pogradeci
LWWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 46% at home = very high riskH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 82% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (35.3%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
2.85
Besa Kavajëvs
1.90
PogradeciGoal Probability
Besa Kavajë
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
Pogradeci
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (10%)0-0 (9%)1-2 (9%)1-0 (9%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 3.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Besa Kavajë-4
Gap#3
Pogradeci
WR 36% 25 pts
WR 55% 43 pts
Besa Kavajë
12.0%
| Mar 07 | Besa Ka… v Kastrio… | 2-3 |
| Mar 01 | Besa Ka… v Burreli | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Besa Ka… v Iliria … | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | Besa Ka… v Laci | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Besa Ka… v Luftëta… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Besa Ka… v FK Kuke… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Besa Ka… v Skender… | 2-3 |
| Jan 17 | Besa Ka… v Pograde… | 0-0 |
| Jan 10 | Besa Ka… v Dinamo … | 3-0 |
| Dec 21 | Besa Ka… v Iliria … | 3-1 |
Pogradeci
14.0%
| Mar 07 | Pograde… v Korabi … | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Pograde… v Apoloni… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Pograde… v Lushnja | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Pograde… v Burreli | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | Pograde… v Apoloni… | 2-2 |
| Jan 31 | Pograde… v Korabi … | 3-1 |
| Jan 24 | Pograde… v Kastrio… | 2-4 |
| Jan 17 | Pograde… v Besa Ka… | 0-0 |
| Jan 10 | Pograde… v Vllazni… | 1-0 |
| Dec 20 | Pograde… v Luftëta… | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 17, 2026 | Pogradeci | 0-0 | Besa Kavajë |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Besa Kavajë | 1-1 | Pogradeci |
| Apr 28, 2025 | Besa Kavajë | 0-1 | Pogradeci |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Pogradeci | 0-1 | Besa Kavajë |
| Dec 02, 2024 | Besa Kavajë | 0-0 | Pogradeci |
| Sep 11, 2024 | Pogradeci | 0-2 | Besa Kavajë |
| Jan 29, 2022 | Besa Kavajë | 0-3 | Pogradeci |
| Oct 13, 2021 | Pogradeci | 2-0 | Besa Kavajë |
| Sep 22, 2021 | Besa Kavajë | 1-0 | Pogradeci |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Pogradeci | 0-0 | Besa Kavajë |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
42%
Market
50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Pogradeci in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.