Back Stats
Challenge League · Mar 14, 2026 15:30

Santa LucĂ­a
PWR 35
3-1
predicted

Marsa
PWR 35
59% 22% 19%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Santa LucĂ­a Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (18%)2-0 (17%)1-0 (10%)3-1 (4%)2-1 (3%)0-0 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
BTTS No
No 17%
Over 3.5
45%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Santa LucĂ­a DWDLW
STABLE
Marsa DLLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 56% at home = very high riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 84% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.29
Santa LucĂ­a
vs
0.20
Marsa
Goal Probability
Santa LucĂ­a
0
4%
1
12%
2
20%
3
22%
4
18%
Marsa
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (12%)3-0 (11%)1-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)4-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 97% 3% OVER
1.5 86% 14% OVER
2.5 67% 33% OVER
3.5 45% 55% -
4.5 26% 74% UNDER
5.5 13% 87% UNDER
6.5 6% 94% UNDER
League Position
#2
Santa LucĂ­a
+5
Gap
#7
Marsa
WR 22% 23 pts WR 29% 10 pts
Santa LucĂ­a 12.0%
Mar 08 Santa L… v Vittori… 1-1
Feb 28 Santa L… v Gudja U… 2-1
Feb 21 Santa L… v Zebbug … 1-1
Feb 14 Santa L… v St. And… 2-1
Feb 07 Santa L… v Birzebb… 0-1
Feb 01 Santa L… v Melita 2-2
Jan 18 Santa L… v Marsa 2-2
Jan 11 Santa L… v Zebbug … 0-0
Jan 04 Santa L… v Fgura U… 2-1
Dec 20 Santa L… v Balzan … 1-1
Marsa 2.0%
Mar 08 Marsa v Gudja U… 3-3
Mar 07 Marsa v Zurrieq 0-2
Mar 01 Marsa v Zebbug … 6-0
Feb 28 Marsa v Mgarr U… 1-2
Feb 21 Marsa v Mgarr U… 5-0
Feb 21 Marsa v Vittori… 2-2
Feb 15 Marsa v Sirens 0-8
Feb 15 Marsa v Balzan … 1-4
Feb 08 Marsa v Pietà H… 0-6
Feb 08 Marsa v Vittori… 1-1
Head-to-Head (5)
Jan 18, 2026 Marsa 2-2 Santa LucĂ­a
Sep 13, 2025 Santa LucĂ­a 7-0 Marsa
Mar 29, 2025 Santa LucĂ­a 3-1 Marsa
Sep 15, 2024 Santa LucĂ­a 0-5 Marsa
Jan 11, 2024 Santa LucĂ­a 2-0 Marsa
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
56%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Marsa struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.