A Lyga · Mar 11, 2026 12:00
Hegelmann Litauen
PWR 35
Ĺ iauliai
PWR 35
Hegelmann Litauen
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT
Ĺ iauliai
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Hegelmann Litauen Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (11%)2-0 (10%)3-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)1-0 (6%)1-1 (5%)
WRONG 1-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
82%
Home/Draw
1.28x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.58x
Over 2.5
65%
65%
Under 2.5
35%
BTTS
Yes 50%
Over 3.5
28%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Hegelmann Lita…
DDLLL
STABLE
Ĺ iauliai
LDDWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (34.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.16
Hegelmann Lita…vs
0.74
Ĺ iauliaiGoal Probability
Hegelmann L…
0
4%
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
Ĺ iauliai
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)0-0 (7%)0-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 3.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Hegelmann L…+2
Gap#9
Ĺ iauliai
WR 0% 2 pts
WR 0% 2 pts
Hegelmann Lita…
4.0%
| Mar 07 | Hegelma… v Panevėž… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Hegelma… v Džiugas… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Hegelma… v Banga | 0-2 |
| Feb 08 | Hegelma… v FK Zalg… | 1-0 |
| Feb 03 | Hegelma… v BFC Dau… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Hegelma… v Džiugas… | 2-0 |
| Nov 08 | Hegelma… v Sūduva … | 2-1 |
| Nov 02 | Hegelma… v FK Zalg… | 3-1 |
| Oct 27 | Hegelma… v Dainava | 0-2 |
| Oct 23 | Hegelma… v Džiugas… | 4-1 |
Ĺ iauliai
8.0%
| Mar 07 | Šiauliai v FK Zalg… | 0-2 |
| Mar 01 | Šiauliai v Sūduva … | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Šiauliai v TransIN… | 2-2 |
| Feb 07 | Šiauliai v BFC Dau… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Šiauliai v FK Zalg… | 4-2 |
| Jan 27 | Ĺ iauliai v Aucas | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Ĺ iauliai v Banga | 1-4 |
| Nov 08 | Šiauliai v Džiugas… | 2-2 |
| Nov 02 | Šiauliai v Sūduva … | 2-2 |
| Oct 26 | Šiauliai v FK Zalg… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Sep 14, 2025 | Šiauliai | 0-1 | Hegelmann Lit… |
| Aug 07, 2025 | Hegelmann Lit… | 3-1 | Šiauliai |
| Jul 05, 2025 | Hegelmann Lit… | 5-2 | Šiauliai |
| May 02, 2025 | Šiauliai | 0-3 | Hegelmann Lit… |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Hegelmann Lit… | 1-0 | Šiauliai |
| Feb 08, 2025 | Hegelmann Lit… | 3-1 | Šiauliai |
| Sep 01, 2024 | Šiauliai | 3-1 | Hegelmann Lit… |
| Jun 26, 2024 | Hegelmann Lit… | 0-0 | Šiauliai |
| May 01, 2024 | Šiauliai | 1-1 | Hegelmann Lit… |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Hegelmann Lit… | 2-2 | Šiauliai |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
53%
Market
63%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Hegelmann Litauen struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.