Cup · Mar 11, 2026 17:45
Velež
PWR 82
FK Sarajevo
PWR 42
Velež
PWR 82
4 - 1
FT
FK Sarajevo
PWR 42
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Velež Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (46%)1-0 (26%)0-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)1-1 (5%)2-1 (2%)
CORRECT 4-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.52x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.7x
Over 2.5
4%
Under 2.5
96%
96%
BTTS
No
No 8%
Over 3.5
14%
Team Comparison
77Attack32
72Defense59
Goals/G
2.20.9
Conc/G
0.81.2
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Velež
WLWWL
STABLE
FK Sarajevo
DLLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.57
Veležvs
0.20
FK SarajevoGoal Probability
Velež
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
FK Sarajevo
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (19%)2-0 (14%)0-0 (13%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (8%)0-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 2.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 15% | 86% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Velež+1
Gap#3
FK Sarajevo
WR 100% 15 pts
WR 33% 15 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velež | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 15 |
| FK Sarajevo | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 15 |
Velež
12.0%
| Mar 06 | Velež v Posušje | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Velež v Radnik … | 1-0 |
| Feb 25 | Velež v FK Sara… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Velež v Željezn… | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Velež v Široki … | 1-0 |
| Feb 11 | Velež v Široki … | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | Velež v Borac B… | 0-0 |
| Jan 29 | Velež v Posušje | 0-2 |
| Dec 13 | Velež v Sloga D… | 1-2 |
| Dec 07 | Velež v Zrinjski | 1-1 |
FK Sarajevo
10.0%
| Mar 07 | FK Sara… v Rudar P… | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | FK Sara… v Borac B… | 2-0 |
| Feb 25 | FK Sara… v Velež | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | FK Sara… v Posušje | 3-0 |
| Feb 15 | FK Sara… v Sloga D… | 0-1 |
| Feb 11 | FK Sara… v Čelik | 0-1 |
| Feb 06 | FK Sara… v Radnik … | 2-0 |
| Jan 28 | FK Sara… v Shkëndi… | 2-3 |
| Dec 14 | FK Sara… v Zrinjski | 0-1 |
| Dec 07 | FK Sara… v Željezn… | 4-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 25, 2026 | FK Sarajevo | 0-1 | Velež |
| Dec 02, 2025 | Velež | 0-0 | FK Sarajevo |
| Sep 20, 2025 | FK Sarajevo | 2-0 | Velež |
| May 18, 2025 | Velež | 2-2 | FK Sarajevo |
| Mar 08, 2025 | Velež | 0-0 | FK Sarajevo |
| Oct 19, 2024 | FK Sarajevo | 4-0 | Velež |
| Apr 28, 2024 | FK Sarajevo | 3-0 | Velež |
| Dec 01, 2023 | Velež | 1-0 | FK Sarajevo |
| Aug 28, 2023 | FK Sarajevo | 1-0 | Velež |
| May 21, 2023 | Velež | 3-5 | FK Sarajevo |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
64%
Standings
50%
Market
43%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Velež in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.