Ligue 1 · Mar 07, 2026 12:00
ES Tunis
PWR 35
AS Marsa
PWR 35
ES Tunis
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
AS Marsa
PWR 35
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
1X (Home/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 80% home + 15% draw = 95% combined
97%
accuracy
1.11x
Final Verdict
Prediction
ES Tunis Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
77%
TierPREMIUM
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (21%)1-0 (18%)3-0 (17%)0-0 (7%)2-1 (4%)1-1 (4%)
CORRECT 1-0
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
95%
Home/Draw
1.11x
DC X2
Away/Draw
5.14x
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS
No
No 16%
Over 3.5
13%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
ES Tunis
WDWWL
STABLE
AS Marsa
LWLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk18%
Accuracy77%
FORM_MOMENTUMPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPODDS_CONFIRM_75
Full data available (Tier 1)Bookmaker consensus confirms HOME at 80%Elite league - reduced thresholdâś“ Passed (4 independent rules, 77% confidence)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.40
ES Tunisvs
0.20
AS MarsaGoal Probability
ES Tunis
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
AS Marsa
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (24%)2-0 (20%)0-0 (14%)3-0 (11%)1-1 (7%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 2.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
ES Tunis+9
Gap#10
AS Marsa
WR 92% 53 pts
WR 27% 25 pts
ES Tunis
14.0%
| Mar 01 | ES Tunis v Olympiq… | 0-3 |
| Feb 25 | ES Tunis v ES Metl… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | ES Tunis v Stade T… | 1-0 |
| Feb 17 | ES Tunis v AS Soli… | 0-3 |
| Feb 08 | ES Tunis v Stade M… | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | ES Tunis v Simba | 2-2 |
| Jan 27 | ES Tunis v JS Kair… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | ES Tunis v Simba | 1-0 |
| Jan 19 | ES Tunis v US Mona… | 2-1 |
| Jan 15 | ES Tunis v AS Gabes | 2-1 |
AS Marsa
8.0%
| Feb 28 | AS Marsa v Stade T… | 0-4 |
| Feb 14 | AS Marsa v AS Soli… | 0-2 |
| Feb 07 | AS Marsa v JS Kair… | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | AS Marsa v US Mona… | 1-0 |
| Jan 28 | AS Marsa v AS Gabes | 1-0 |
| Jan 23 | AS Marsa v US Ben … | 1-0 |
| Jan 17 | AS Marsa v Club Af… | 0-1 |
| Nov 22 | AS Marsa v Jeuness… | 2-1 |
| Nov 08 | AS Marsa v CS Sfax… | 2-0 |
| Nov 05 | AS Marsa v Club At… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Oct 01, 2025 | AS Marsa | 0-3 | ES Tunis |
| Dec 05, 2023 | AS Marsa | 0-1 | ES Tunis |
| Aug 19, 2023 | ES Tunis | 1-0 | AS Marsa |
Decision Breakdown
CS68+S65 (82.8%)S75+DR<25 (81.8%)CS70+M80 (81.0%)ODDS55+CS68 (80.3%)CS68+S70+DR<25 (80.0%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)xG0.7+CS70 (77.4%)ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)CS70+M75+S65 (76.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)CS68+M80 (75.0%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
78%
Market
97%
Key Factors
ES Tunis in strong form (3W in last 5)
AS Marsa struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.