J2 League · Mar 14, 2026 05:00
Shonan Bellmare
PWR 35
Montedio Yamagata
PWR 35
Shonan Bellmare
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Montedio Yamagata
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Shonan Bellmare to win (61% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
61%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (9%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)1-0 (6%)1-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.76x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.48x
Over 2.5
66%
66%
Under 2.5
34%
BTTS
Yes 56%
Over 3.5
38%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Shonan Bellmare
DWWWL
STABLE
Montedio Yamag…
DLDWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.02
Shonan Bellmarevs
0.88
Montedio Yamag…Goal Probability
Shonan Bell…
0
5%
1
15%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Montedio Ya…
0
42%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (7%)3-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 82% | 19% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 3.5 | 38% | 63% | - |
| 4.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Shonan Bell…+2
Gap#4
Montedio Ya…
WR 67% 9 pts
WR 75% 8 pts
Shonan Bellmare
14.0%
| Mar 07 | Shonan … v Vegalta… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Shonan … v Tochigi… | 1-3 |
| Feb 21 | Shonan … v Vanraur… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Shonan … v Sagamih… | 4-0 |
| Feb 07 | Shonan … v Blaubli… | 1-2 |
| Dec 06 | Shonan … v Sanfrec… | 2-1 |
| Nov 30 | Shonan … v Shimizu… | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | Shonan … v Albirex… | 5-2 |
| Oct 26 | Shonan … v Avispa … | 1-0 |
| Oct 19 | Shonan … v Kyoto S… | 1-1 |
Montedio Yamag…
12.0%
| Mar 08 | Montedi… v Blaubli… | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Montedi… v Sagamih… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Montedi… v Thespak… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Montedi… v Tochigi… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Montedi… v Yokoham… | 1-2 |
| Nov 29 | Montedi… v Fujieda… | 2-1 |
| Nov 23 | Montedi… v Júbilo … | 2-2 |
| Nov 09 | Montedi… v Imabari | 2-1 |
| Nov 02 | Montedi… v Oita Tr… | 1-2 |
| Oct 26 | Montedi… v Omiya A… | 2-2 |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
51%
Market
35%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Shonan Bellmare in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.