J2 League · Mar 14, 2026 05:00
Sagan Tosu
PWR 35
Kitakyushu
PWR 35
Sagan Tosu
PWR 35
3-0
predicted
Kitakyushu
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Sagan Tosu Win
Score
3-0
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (23%)0-1 (17%)1-0 (16%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (7%)2-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
19%
Under 2.5
81%
81%
BTTS
No
No 28%
Over 3.5
29%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Sagan Tosu
LLLDD
DOWN
Kitakyushu
LLLLL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskPoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
Sagan Tosuvs
0.76
KitakyushuGoal Probability
Sagan Tosu
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Kitakyushu
0
47%
1
36%
2
14%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)0-1 (10%)1-2 (9%)1-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)0-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Sagan Tosu+1
Gap#10
Kitakyushu
WR 50% 3 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
Sagan Tosu
4.0%
| Mar 07 | Sagan T… v Renofa … | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Sagan T… v Kashima | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Sagan T… v Tegevaj… | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | Sagan T… v Roasso … | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Sagan T… v FC Ryuk… | 2-2 |
| Nov 29 | Sagan T… v Júbilo … | 1-2 |
| Nov 23 | Sagan T… v Fujieda… | 0-0 |
| Nov 09 | Sagan T… v Katalle… | 3-1 |
| Nov 02 | Sagan T… v Tokushi… | 0-0 |
| Oct 26 | Sagan T… v Vegalta… | 3-2 |
Kitakyushu
0.0%
| Mar 07 | Kitakyu… v Tegevaj… | 2-3 |
| Feb 28 | Kitakyu… v Biwako … | 1-2 |
| Feb 22 | Kitakyu… v Roasso … | 4-1 |
| Feb 15 | Kitakyu… v Oita Tr… | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | Kitakyu… v Gainare… | 1-3 |
| Nov 02 | Kitakyu… v Vanraur… | 0-0 |
| Oct 25 | Kitakyu… v FC Ryuk… | 2-1 |
| Oct 19 | Kitakyu… v Kamatam… | 1-4 |
| Oct 11 | Kitakyu… v Kashima | 1-1 |
| Oct 05 | Kitakyu… v Tochigi… | 0-1 |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
67%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Sagan Tosu struggling (3L in last 5)
Kitakyushu struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.