J2 League · Mar 14, 2026 05:00
Matsumoto Yamaga
PWR 35
Parceiro Nagano
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Matsumoto Yamaga
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Parceiro Nagano Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (22%)2-0 (18%)0-0 (14%)3-0 (10%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.84x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.47x
Over 2.5
31%
Under 2.5
69%
69%
BTTS
No
No 25%
Over 3.5
14%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Parceiro Nagano
LDLDW
STABLE
Matsumoto Yama…
WLWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Parceiro Naganovs
0.38
Matsumoto Yama…Goal Probability
Parceiro Na…
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Matsumoto Y…
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (17%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 2.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Parceiro Na…-2
Gap#7
Matsumoto Y…
WR 0% 2 pts
WR 25% 3 pts
Parceiro Nagano
8.0%
| Feb 28 | Parceir… v Omiya A… | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Parceir… v Consado… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Parceir… v Ventfor… | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | Parceir… v Júbilo … | 0-0 |
| Oct 25 | Parceir… v Azul Cl… | 2-1 |
| Oct 18 | Parceir… v Nara Cl… | 2-0 |
| Oct 13 | Parceir… v Kamatam… | 1-0 |
| Oct 04 | Parceir… v Kanazawa | 1-3 |
| Sep 28 | Parceir… v Kashima | 1-4 |
| Sep 20 | Parceir… v FC Gifu | 2-1 |
Matsumoto Yama…
8.0%
| Mar 07 | Matsumo… v Consado… | 3-0 |
| Feb 28 | Matsumo… v Ventfor… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Matsumo… v Júbilo … | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Matsumo… v Fujieda… | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | Matsumo… v Omiya A… | 2-1 |
| Oct 26 | Matsumo… v Kamatam… | 1-2 |
| Oct 19 | Matsumo… v Sagamih… | 1-0 |
| Oct 15 | Matsumo… v Kanazawa | 1-0 |
| Oct 05 | Matsumo… v Kashima | 1-0 |
| Sep 28 | Matsumo… v Tochigi… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Jul 19, 2025 | Parceiro Naga… | 1-0 | Matsumoto Yam… |
| May 14, 2025 | Matsumoto Yam… | 2-2 | Parceiro Naga… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
83%
Standings
46%
Market
35%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Matsumoto Yamaga struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.