Roraimense · Mar 15, 2026 21:00
Rio Negro RR
PWR 35
Rio Negro RR
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Náutico RR
PWR 35
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Rio Negro RR Win
Score
1-0
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (22%)2-0 (17%)0-0 (15%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
30%
Under 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
No
No 26%
Over 3.5
67%
67%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Rio Negro RR
LDWLL
STABLE
Náutico RR
LLDLL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (24.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Rio Negro RRvs
0.41
Náutico RRGoal Probability
Rio Negro RR
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Náutico RR
0
66%
1
27%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (8%)3-0 (7%)2-1 (7%)4-1 (7%)2-0 (6%)4-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 5.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Rio Negro RR+1
Gap#8
Náutico RR
WR 14% 3 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
Rio Negro RR
6.0%
| Mar 11 | Rio Neg… v Baré | 1-4 |
| Mar 10 | Rio Neg… v Monte R… | 1-1 |
| Mar 06 | Rio Neg… v Progres… | 0-7 |
| Mar 04 | Rio Neg… v GAS | 0-2 |
| Feb 28 | Rio Neg… v Baré | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Rio Neg… v Progres… | 3-1 |
| Feb 21 | Rio Neg… v Monte R… | 3-0 |
| Feb 16 | Rio Neg… v Rio Neg… | 0-2 |
| Feb 11 | Rio Neg… v São Rai… | 2-2 |
| Feb 04 | Rio Neg… v Atlétic… | 1-2 |
Náutico RR
2.0%
| Mar 08 | Náutico… v GAS | 4-1 |
| Mar 05 | Náutico… v Monte R… | 0-1 |
| Feb 24 | Náutico… v Atlétic… | 0-0 |
| Feb 17 | Náutico… v São Rai… | 0-4 |
| Feb 10 | Náutico… v Baré | 0-2 |
| Jan 28 | Náutico… v Rio Neg… | 1-0 |
| Mar 22 | Náutico… v GAS | 1-6 |
| Mar 19 | Náutico… v Rio Neg… | 5-1 |
| Mar 10 | Náutico… v Baré | 4-0 |
| Mar 04 | Náutico… v Progres… | 5-0 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Jan 28, 2026 | Rio Negro RR | 1-0 | Náutico RR |
| Mar 19, 2025 | Rio Negro RR | 5-1 | Náutico RR |
| May 21, 2024 | Rio Negro RR | 1-1 | Náutico RR |
| Mar 20, 2024 | Rio Negro RR | 0-2 | Náutico RR |
| May 14, 2023 | Rio Negro RR | 1-5 | Náutico RR |
| Mar 20, 2023 | Rio Negro RR | 0-4 | Náutico RR |
| Mar 22, 2022 | Náutico RR | 1-0 | Rio Negro RR |
| May 25, 2021 | Náutico RR | 4-1 | Rio Negro RR |
| May 09, 2021 | Rio Negro RR | 1-0 | Náutico RR |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
81%
Standings
56%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Rio Negro RR struggling (3L in last 5)
Náutico RR struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.