Super League · Mar 12, 2026 14:30

Olmaliq
PWR 35
VS

Sogdiana
PWR 35
47% 25% 28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Olmaliq Win
Score
?
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (19%)2-0 (19%)3-0 (12%)0-0 (10%)1-1 (7%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.45x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.87x
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5 60%
60%
BTTS No
No 26%
Over 3.5
10%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Olmaliq LLWDW
DOWN
Sogdiana LLWWL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Olmaliq
vs
0.36
Sogdiana
Goal Probability
Olmaliq
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Sogdiana
0
70%
1
25%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (18%)0-0 (17%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 83% 17% OVER
1.5 53% 47% -
2.5 26% 74% UNDER
3.5 10% 90% UNDER
4.5 3% 97% UNDER
5.5 1% 99% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#14
Olmaliq
+1
Gap
#15
Sogdiana
WR 0% 0 pts WR 0% 0 pts
Olmaliq 10.0%
Mar 06 Olmaliq v Xorazm 1-0
Mar 01 Olmaliq v Bunyodk… 0-1
Nov 30 Olmaliq v Mash'al 2-0
Nov 20 Olmaliq v Surkhon 0-0
Nov 07 Olmaliq v Navbahor 3-1
Oct 31 Olmaliq v Shortan 4-3
Oct 26 Olmaliq v Nasaf 1-1
Oct 19 Olmaliq v Neftchi… 1-0
Oct 03 Olmaliq v Kokand-… 0-1
Sep 26 Olmaliq v Andijan 1-0
Sogdiana 8.0%
Mar 06 Sogdiana v Nasaf 0-2
Feb 27 Sogdiana v Andijan 4-0
Feb 19 Sogdiana v Fakel V… 0-1
Feb 01 Sogdiana v Chelyab… 0-1
Nov 30 Sogdiana v Kokand-… 2-0
Nov 22 Sogdiana v Bunyodk… 0-2
Nov 09 Sogdiana v Xorazm 0-2
Nov 02 Sogdiana v Qizilqum 3-0
Oct 23 Sogdiana v Buxoro 2-0
Oct 17 Sogdiana v Surkhon 2-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Sep 12, 2025 Sogdiana 4-1 Olmaliq
Apr 20, 2025 Olmaliq 3-2 Sogdiana
Oct 21, 2024 Sogdiana 1-1 Olmaliq
May 19, 2024 Olmaliq 5-3 Sogdiana
Oct 07, 2023 Olmaliq 3-2 Sogdiana
Jul 01, 2023 Sogdiana 1-2 Olmaliq
Sep 30, 2022 Sogdiana 0-2 Olmaliq
May 07, 2022 Olmaliq 3-2 Sogdiana
Nov 27, 2021 Olmaliq 0-1 Sogdiana
Jul 31, 2021 Sogdiana 0-0 Olmaliq
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
88%
Standings
52%
Market
49%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Sogdiana struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.