J1 League · Mar 18, 2026 10:30

Machida Zelvia
PWR 35

Kashima
PWR 35

Machida Zelvia
PWR 35
4-1
predicted

Kashima
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Machida Zelvia Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (7%)3-1 (6%)2-0 (5%)2-1 (4%)3-2 (3%)1-0 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
60%
60%
Under 2.5
40%
BTTS
Yes 57%
Over 3.5
33%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Machida Zelvia
WDWDW
STABLE
Kashima
DWWDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Similar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Machida Zelviavs
0.85
KashimaGoal Probability
Machida Zel…
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Kashima
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (11%)2-0 (11%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 3.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Machida Zel…+4
Gap#5
Kashima
WR 100% 9 pts
WR 0% 7 pts
Machida Zelvia
16.0%
| Mar 10 | Machida… v Gangwon… | 1-0 |
| Mar 03 | Machida… v Gangwon… | 0-0 |
| Feb 27 | Machida… v JEF Uni… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Machida… v Tokyo V… | 2-2 |
| Feb 17 | Machida… v Chengdu… | 3-2 |
| Feb 14 | Machida… v Mito Ho… | 2-2 |
| Feb 10 | Machida… v Shangha… | 0-2 |
| Feb 06 | Machida… v Yokoham… | 2-3 |
| Dec 09 | Machida… v Ulsan H… | 3-1 |
| Dec 06 | Machida… v Kashiwa… | 1-0 |
Kashima
16.0%
| Mar 07 | Kashima v Tokyo V… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Kashima v Urawa | 2-3 |
| Feb 28 | Kashima v Sagan T… | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Kashima v Júbilo … | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Kashima v Renofa … | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Kashima v Kashiwa… | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | Kashima v Omiya A… | 6-0 |
| Feb 15 | Kashima v FC Ryuk… | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | Kashima v Iwaki | 3-1 |
| Feb 14 | Kashima v Yokoham… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Jun 21, 2025 | Machida Zelvia | 2-1 | Kashima |
| May 03, 2025 | Kashima | 1-0 | Machida Zelvia |
| Dec 08, 2024 | Kashima | 3-1 | Machida Zelvia |
| May 22, 2024 | Machida Zelvia | 2-0 | Kashima |
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
86%
Market
50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Machida Zelvia in strong form (3W in last 5)
Kashima in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.