J1 League · Mar 15, 2026 05:00
V-Varen Nagasaki
PWR 35
Avispa Fukuoka
PWR 35
V-Varen Nagasaki
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Avispa Fukuoka
PWR 35
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
V-Varen Nagasaki Win
Score
1-0
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (29%)0-0 (21%)2-0 (19%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (6%)0-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
20%
Under 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
No
No 13%
Over 3.5
5%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
V-Varen Nagasa…
DWWLL
STABLE
Avispa Fukuoka
DLLLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
V-Varen Nagasa…vs
0.20
Avispa FukuokaGoal Probability
V-Varen Nag…
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Avispa Fuku…
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (25%)1-0 (24%)2-0 (12%)0-1 (11%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 41% | 60% | - |
| 2.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
V-Varen Nag…+2
Gap#10
Avispa Fuku…
WR 0% 3 pts
WR 0% 2 pts
V-Varen Nagasa…
10.0%
| Mar 08 | V-Varen… v Gamba O… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | V-Varen… v Cerezo … | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | V-Varen… v Nagoya … | 1-3 |
| Feb 13 | V-Varen… v Vissel … | 2-0 |
| Feb 06 | V-Varen… v Sanfrec… | 1-3 |
| Nov 29 | V-Varen… v Tokushi… | 1-1 |
| Nov 23 | V-Varen… v Mito Ho… | 2-1 |
| Nov 08 | V-Varen… v Ehime FC | 0-4 |
| Nov 02 | V-Varen… v Júbilo … | 1-0 |
| Oct 25 | V-Varen… v Imabari | 1-1 |
Avispa Fukuoka
4.0%
| Mar 07 | Avispa … v Nagoya … | 0-0 |
| Feb 27 | Avispa … v Vissel … | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Avispa … v Kyoto S… | 2-0 |
| Feb 15 | Avispa … v Cerezo … | 0-2 |
| Feb 08 | Avispa … v Fagiano… | 1-1 |
| Dec 06 | Avispa … v Nagoya … | 1-0 |
| Nov 30 | Avispa … v Gamba O… | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | Avispa … v Tokyo V… | 0-0 |
| Oct 26 | Avispa … v Shonan … | 1-0 |
| Oct 18 | Avispa … v Machida… | 0-0 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
82%
Standings
53%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Avispa Fukuoka struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.