J1 League · Mar 14, 2026 05:00
Shimizu S-Pulse
PWR 35
Fagiano Okayama
PWR 35
Shimizu S-Pulse
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Fagiano Okayama
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Shimizu S-Pulse Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)2-0 (8%)1-2 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.51x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.78x
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
BTTS
Yes 54%
Over 3.5
18%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Shimizu S-Pulse
DDWDL
STABLE
Fagiano Okayama
DDLDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 2/6 draws (33%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 4/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (31.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Shimizu S-Pulsevs
1.19
Fagiano OkayamaGoal Probability
Shimizu S-P…
0
22%
1
34%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Fagiano Oka…
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (13%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (11%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 65% | 36% | - |
| 2.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 3.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Shimizu S-P…+2
Gap#9
Fagiano Oka…
WR 50% 4 pts
WR 0% 2 pts
Shimizu S-Pulse
10.0%
| Mar 07 | Shimizu… v Cerezo … | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Shimizu… v Gamba O… | 2-2 |
| Feb 21 | Shimizu… v Vissel … | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Shimizu… v Kyoto S… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Shimizu… v Nagoya … | 1-0 |
| Dec 06 | Shimizu… v Fagiano… | 1-2 |
| Nov 30 | Shimizu… v Shonan … | 1-0 |
| Nov 09 | Shimizu… v Cerezo … | 1-4 |
| Oct 25 | Shimizu… v Tokyo V… | 1-0 |
| Oct 18 | Shimizu… v Kawasak… | 5-3 |
Fagiano Okayama
8.0%
| Mar 08 | Fagiano… v Kyoto S… | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Fagiano… v Nagoya … | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Fagiano… v Gamba O… | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Fagiano… v Sanfrec… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Fagiano… v Avispa … | 1-1 |
| Dec 06 | Fagiano… v Shimizu… | 1-2 |
| Nov 30 | Fagiano… v Urawa | 0-1 |
| Nov 08 | Fagiano… v Kawasak… | 1-1 |
| Oct 25 | Fagiano… v FC Tokyo | 3-1 |
| Oct 18 | Fagiano… v Cerezo … | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Dec 06, 2025 | Shimizu S-Pul… | 1-2 | Fagiano Okaya… |
| Mar 02, 2025 | Fagiano Okaya… | 1-1 | Shimizu S-Pul… |
| Jun 30, 2024 | Shimizu S-Pul… | 3-1 | Fagiano Okaya… |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Fagiano Okaya… | 0-1 | Shimizu S-Pul… |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Shimizu S-Pul… | 1-0 | Fagiano Okaya… |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Fagiano Okaya… | 0-0 | Shimizu S-Pul… |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
63%
Standings
68%
Market
46%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.