Liga Nacional · Mar 12, 2026 01:30

Real Espana
PWR 35

Victoria
PWR 39

Real Espana
PWR 35
4 - 1
FT

Victoria
PWR 39
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
1X (Home/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 69% home + 20% draw = 89% combined
92%
accuracy
1.19x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Real Espana Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (7%)2-1 (7%)3-2 (6%)2-2 (5%)3-0 (5%)2-0 (4%)
CORRECT 4-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
89%
Home/Draw
1.19x
DC X2
Away/Draw
3.35x
Over 2.5
74%
74%
Under 2.5
26%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 76%
Over 3.5
63%
63%
Team Comparison
0Attack44
100Defense45
Goals/G
0.01.3
Conc/G
0.01.6
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Real Espana
DDLWL
STABLE
Victoria
LLWLW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.29
Real Espanavs
1.56
VictoriaGoal Probability
Real Espana
0
4%
1
12%
2
20%
3
22%
4
18%
Victoria
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4
5%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)2-2 (6%)1-1 (6%)3-2 (6%)2-0 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 81% | 20% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 4.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 5.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Real Espana+2
Gap#6
Victoria
WR 39% 146 pts
WR 26% 96 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Espana | 99 | 39 | 29 | 31 | 132 | 112 | 146 |
| Victoria | 87 | 23 | 27 | 37 | 109 | 136 | 96 |
Real Espana
8.0%
| Mar 08 | Real Es… v CD Olim… | 1-1 |
| Mar 02 | Real Es… v Platens… | 2-2 |
| Feb 25 | Real Es… v Los Ang… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Real Es… v Lobos U… | 4-3 |
| Feb 18 | Real Es… v Los Ang… | 1-6 |
| Feb 15 | Real Es… v Atlétic… | 2-1 |
| Feb 12 | Real Es… v Jutical… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Real Es… v CD Mara… | 0-1 |
| Feb 01 | Real Es… v CD Mota… | 2-2 |
| Jan 28 | Real Es… v Génesis | 1-2 |
Victoria
8.0%
| Mar 08 | Victoria v Génesis | 2-4 |
| Mar 01 | Victoria v Jutical… | 1-0 |
| Feb 25 | Victoria v Olancho | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Victoria v Atlétic… | 2-1 |
| Feb 16 | Victoria v CD Olim… | 2-1 |
| Feb 12 | Victoria v Lobos U… | 2-2 |
| Feb 08 | Victoria v CD Mota… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Victoria v CD Mara… | 0-0 |
| Jan 25 | Victoria v Platens… | 1-1 |
| Dec 06 | Victoria v CD Olim… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 09, 2025 | Victoria | 0-2 | Real Espana |
| Sep 11, 2025 | Real Espana | 1-3 | Victoria |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Victoria | 1-1 | Real Espana |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Real Espana | 2-1 | Victoria |
| Nov 25, 2024 | Victoria | 0-0 | Real Espana |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Real Espana | 1-1 | Victoria |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Real Espana | 0-1 | Victoria |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Victoria | 2-2 | Real Espana |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Victoria | 4-3 | Real Espana |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Real Espana | 3-2 | Victoria |
Decision Breakdown
ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
90%
Standings
50%
Market
70%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Victoria struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.